Houston Chronicle Sunday

COVID still is killing faster than guns, cars, flu combined

- By Tom Randall

Even with half the U.S. vaccinated, COVID-19 continues to kill people faster than guns, car crashes and influenza combined, according to a review of mortality data.

The situation has improved dramatical­ly since January, when COVID deaths outpaced heart disease and cancer as the country’s top killer, according to a Bloomberg analysis. Still, for the month of June, coronaviru­s was responsibl­e for 337 deaths a day. For comparison, the historic average deaths from gunshots, car crashes and complicati­ons from the flu add up to 306 a day.

“The sad reality is that despite our progress, we’re still losing people to this virus,” Jeff Zients, the White House pandemic response coordinato­r, said at a recent news briefing. “Which is especially tragic given that, at this point, it is unnecessar­y and preventabl­e. Virtually all COVID-19 hospitaliz­ations and deaths in the United States are now occurring among unvaccinat­ed individual­s.”

Data for the analysis was gathered from Johns Hopkins University, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Highway Traffic Safety Administra­tion.

After 10 weeks of global declines in COVID deaths, the highly transmissi­ble delta variant is driving a new uptick. In the U.S., health officials have warned that a similar reversal may be underway: Daily cases have doubled from a low point last month, and hospitaliz­ations are rising again.

Vaccines by Pfizer and Moderna prevent as many as 96 percent of hospitaliz­ations and deaths from the delta variant, according to recent data from the U.S., U.K. and Israel. The protection­s are even greater when taking into account the effects of reduced transmissi­on in well-vaccinated communitie­s, as data scientist Cathy O’Neil explained in a Bloomberg Opinion column.

“Preliminar­y data from several states over the last few months suggest that 99.5 percent of deaths from COVID-19 in the United States were in unvaccinat­ed people,” CDC Director Rochelle Walensky reported Thursday. “Those deaths were preventabl­e by a simple, safe shot.”

But the U.S. vaccinatio­n campaign has stalled. Once the envy of the world for its swift rollout, the U.S. has since been overtaken by more than 20 countries that now have better vaccine coverage, according to Bloomberg’s COVID vaccine tracker. The European Union and China, which are currently administer­ing shots at daily rates of about 4 million and 10 million doses respective­ly, are poised to blow past the U.S. in the next two weeks.

Not only have U.S. vaccinatio­ns slowed to a trickle — just 530,000 a day, on average — but the gap between the most and least vaccinated counties in the U.S. continues to widen. That’s left some some communitie­s especially vulnerable to delta. For unvaccinat­ed people living in low-vaccinatio­n communitie­s, the threat posed by COVID-19 is about as bad as it has ever been.

The sudden dominance of the delta variant has surprised health officials around the world. In the Netherland­s, cases jumped by more than 500 percent earlier this month. The U.K. and Russia are reporting the highest transmissi­on rates since January. Israel reinstated a mask mandate. Sydney and Melbourne are in lockdown again.

“The delta variant is ripping around the world at a scorching pace, driving a spike in cases and deaths,” World Health Organizati­on Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesu­s said during a news briefing last week. “The pandemic is not over — anywhere.”

 ?? Eric Lee / Bloomberg ?? Body bags representi­ng the global number of deaths from COVID-19 are laid out Thursday near the White House during a demonstrat­ion.
Eric Lee / Bloomberg Body bags representi­ng the global number of deaths from COVID-19 are laid out Thursday near the White House during a demonstrat­ion.

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