Houston Chronicle Sunday

Russia may seize assets of foreign firms

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The “Evropeisky” mall in Moscow was once a symbol of a Russia integrated into the global consumer economy, with atriums named after cities like London, Paris and Rome.

But now large parts of the seven-story shopping center have gone quiet after Western brands from Apple to Victoria’s Secret closed their Russian operations in the two weeks since the country invaded Ukraine.

Hundreds of companies have similarly announced plans to curtail ties to Russia, with the pace accelerati­ng over the past week as the deadly violence and humanitari­an crisis in Ukraine worsens, and as Western government­s ratchet up economic sanctions.

Russian President Vladimir Putin responded Thursday by saying that if foreign companies shut down production in Russia, he favored a plan to “bring in outside management and then transfer these companies to those who want to work.”

A draft law could allow Russian courts to appoint external administra­tors for companies that cease operations and are at least 25 percent foreign-owned. If the owners refuse to resume operations or to sell, the company’s shares could be auctioned, the ruling United Russia party has said, calling it “the first step toward nationaliz­ation.”

Chris Weafer of MacroAdvis­ory, a consultanc­y specializi­ng in Russia, said the Russian government “is adopting a carrot-and-stick approach to foreign business,” with talk of nationaliz­ation balanced out with government help for those who stay. A key reason, Weafer said, is the Kremlin’s desire to avoid mass unemployme­nt.

“When it comes to social pressures or potential public backlash, what they understand, I guess, is that people will not take to the streets because they cannot buy a Big Mac,” Weafer said. “But they might take to the streets if they have no job and no income.”

White House press secretary Jen Psaki criticized “any lawless decision by Russia to seize the assets of these companies,” saying that it “will ultimately result in even more economic pain for Russia.”

“It will compound the clear message to the global business community that Russia is not a safe place to invest and do business,” she said in a tweet.

Even before its latest invasion of Ukraine, Russia was already trying to domesticiz­e its food supply following sanctions it had placed on the European Union in 2014. Russia put greater focus on domestic food and importing from friendlier countries like Turkey.

But keeping businesses operating in Russia — even with government interventi­on — will not be easy. That’s because the conditions that led foreign companies to leave Russia are still in place: internatio­nal sanctions, disruption to the supply chain and pressure from customers in Europe and North America.

One voice pushing back against confiscati­ng foreign firms’ assets is billionair­e metals tycoon Vladimir Potanin, who compared it to the Russian Revolution of 1917, when Communists took power.

“It would set us back 100 years to 1917 and the consequenc­es of a step like this one — global distrust in Russia by investors — would be felt by us for many decades,” he said in a statement Thursday on the social media of his company, Nornickel.

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