U.S. health spending edges past $4.3T as financial COVID response slows

The US health care bill edged past $4.3 trillion, or almost $13,000 for every American, as pandemic spending increases slowed in 2021.

The 2.7 percent increase in spending last year reflects the public’s return to more regular care patterns that were disrupted in 2020, federal actuaries said Wednesday in the journal Health Affairs. That year, the flood of federal money that went to hospitals and public-health efforts helped nationwide health layouts increase 10.3 percent from 2019.

“COVID spending at the national level actually does show this deceleration, while the underlying trends show an acceleration, which is primarily due to increased use” of medical care, said Anne Martin, an economist with the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

Health spending represented 18.3 percent of US gross domestic product in 2021. That’s down from the year before, when the pandemic curbed economic output sharply, but still a higher share than before COVID. The US devotes a greater share of its economy to health care than any other developed nation, and Americans frequently pay higher prices for medical care than in countries where governments play a bigger role in operating health systems.

The US spending figure reflects the combined outlays of government programs, private employers and households; federal spending makes up more than a third. A team of actuaries and economists at CMS tallies the national health figures each year.

While COVID response programs that backstopped hospitals and other providers with tens of billions of dollars persisted in 2021, most of the money was disbursed in 2020. Excluding the impact of federal support and public health funds, expenditures grew at 2.3 percent in 2020 and 7.6 percent in 2021, the researchers said.

About one-third of US health spending goes to hospitals, about a fifth goes to physicians and 9 percent to prescription drugs. Overall drug prices declined for the fourth year in a row, while prices for medical care were fairly stable, according to the study, though the period analyzed doesn’t capture 2022’s record inflation.

The number of uninsured Americans declined in 2021 as enrollment in the Medicaid safety-net program for low-income people jumped. State Medicaid rolls swelled because the programs paused processes to determine whether people remained eligible for the benefit during the public health emergency. That policy is expected to expire in 2023, and companies that provide Medicaid coverage are preparing for the shift.

The slower rate of spending and federal support hasn’t insulated American families from rising medical costs. Households’ out-of-pocket spending leapt 10 percent in 2021, the fastest increase since 1985 after a small decline in 2020. The increase reflected trips to dentists and doctors, elective surgeries and medical equipment including eyeglasses — the kind of care that many people deferred in 2020.