Houston Chronicle

Poll: Just 1 in 4 want a repeal of health law

Key features of health law get bipartisan backing, but calls to repeal still strong

- By Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar

Only 1 in 4 Americans want Donald Trump to entirely repeal his predecesso­r’s health care law that extended coverage to millions, according to a poll.

WASHINGTON — Only about 1 in 4 people in the United States want President-elect Donald Trump to entirely repeal his predecesso­r’s health care law that extended coverage to millions, according to a poll.

The post-election survey released Thursday by the nonpartisa­n Kaiser Family Foundation also found hints of a pragmatic shift among some Republican foes of President Barack Obama’s law.

While 52 percent of Republican­s say they want the law completely repealed, that share is down from 69 percent just last month, before the election. More Republican­s now say they want the law “scaled back” under Trump and the Republican­controlled Congress, with that share more than doubling from 11 percent before the Nov. 8 election to 24 percent after.

Kaiser CEO Drew Altman said the foundation’s polling experts aren’t quite sure what to make of that finding. The organizati­on is a clearingho­use for informatio­n and analysis about the health care system.

It could be that some Republican­s “got a protest vote off their chests, and they’re done with that,” Altman said. “They now have a more moderate position.”

No changes next year

Trump called the Affordable Care Act a “disaster” during an election campaign that saw big premium increases announced in its closing days. After the vote, Trump has been saying he’d like to keep parts of the law.

With open enrollment underway, no changes are expected next year for the more than 10 million people currently covered through HealthCare.gov and state markets that offer subsidized private insurance. An additional estimated 9 million low-income people covered by Medicaid in states that expanded the program are also safe for now.

HealthCare.gov sign-ups are running a little higher than last year — 2.1 million through last Saturday, as compared with about 2 million. But the share of new customers is down, 24 percent this year versus 35 percent last year.

On Capitol Hill, Republican leaders want to quickly repeal the law before an interlude and segue to a replacemen­t. That approach carries political risk because the replacemen­t legislatio­n could bog down and there’s no guarantee of success. The uncertaint­y could disrupt coverage for millions by destabiliz­ing fragile insurance markets.

The poll found some skepticism about that approach. Forty-two percent of those who want the 2010 law repealed said lawmakers should wait until they figure out the details of a replacemen­t plan before doing so.

Overall, 30 percent said the new president and Congress should expand what the law does, and 19 percent said it should be implemente­d as is. On the other side, 26 percent said the law should be entirely repealed and 17 percent called for it to be scaled back.

Among Trump voters, 8 in 10 viewed the health care law unfavorabl­y, and half wanted it entirely repealed.

Many provisions supported

As Republican­s start to make changes in health care, potentiall­y revamping Medicare and Medicaid, the politics of the issue could turn against them, Altman said. “They are going to go from casting stones to owning the problem,” he said.

The poll found majorities across party lines support many of the health care law’s provisions but not its requiremen­t that individual­s have coverage or risk fines and its mandate that medium-to-large employers pay fines if they don’t offer insurance.

Among the provisions with support across party lines:

• Allowing young adults to stay on a parent’s insurance until age 26.

• No copayments for many preventive services.

• Closing the Medicare prescripti­on drug coverage gap known as the “doughnut hole.”

• Financial help for low- and moderatein­come people to pay their premiums.

• A state option to expand Medicaid to cover more low-income adults.

• Barring insurance companies from denying coverage because of a person’s medical history.

• Increased Medicare payroll taxes for upper-income earners.

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