Houston Chronicle

Late wave of buying lifts stocks slightly

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A late wave of buying helped nudge U.S. stock indexes slightly higher Friday after a day of mostly listless trading.

Banks and health care stocks climbed the most as investors priced in an increasing likelihood that interest rates will rise in the coming months.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen helped stoke those expectatio­ns in a speech in which she said an improving job market and rising inflation would likely prompt the central bank to increase borrowing costs.

“The real takeaway here is if the Fed is willing to start moving, they see the economy as not only doing better but likely to do better going forward,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonweal­th Financial Network. “The Fed is notorious for waiting until the evidence of growth is absolutely undeniable.”

peaking in Chicago on the Fed’s economic outlook Friday, Yellen said the Fed will likely resume raising interest rates later this month to reflect a strengthen­ing job market and inflation edging toward the central bank’s 2 percent target rate.

Investors’ expectatio­ns of a rate hike this month had been building in recent days as remarks by other Fed officials signaled the central bank is ready to resume raising rates as soon as its next two-day meeting of policymake­rs on March 14-15.

That’s one reason the major indexes moved little before and after Yellen’s speech.

Still, the increased likelihood of higher interest rates gave several stocks a modest lift, including banks, which stand to make healthier profits from lending as rates rise. Bank of the Ozarks added Not faring as well were real estate, utilities and phone company stocks, which tend to lose favor among yield-seeking investors when interest rates rise.

“If yields are going up you don’t need to buy those stocks to get your yield, you just buy 10-Year Treasury notes,” said John Canally, chief economic strategist for LPL Financial.

Bond prices were little changed after pulling back from an early climb. The 10-year Treasury yield held steady at 2.48 percent.

Wall Street’s slight gains on Friday left the stock market hovering near its latest record highs set on Wednesday.

Stronger-than-expected earnings from companies, continued improvemen­t in the U.S. economy and expectatio­ns for businessfr­iendly policies from Washington have helped propel the market this year to new highs. Should investors be nervous about a pullback?

“In the very short term there is some risk of a pullback,” said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivative­s at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. “I wouldn’t say it’s likely to approach anything close to a correction, or a 10 percent pullback. Long-term, we continue to think we’re solidly in a bull market.”

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