Houston Chronicle

Fed finds economy slowing in parts of U.S.

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WASHINGTON — A Federal Reserve survey of U.S. business conditions has found modest economic gains at the start of the year, although some parts of the country saw slowdowns stemming from a renewed surge of COVID-19 cases.

The Fed report released Wednesday said that the bulk of the Fed’s 12 regions reported modest gains in economic activity in recent weeks.

But three districts — New York, Philadelph­ia and Cleveland — said that activity had weakened. districts — St. Louis and Kansas City — said activity was generally unchanged since the last Fed meeting in mid-December.

The Fed said that reports on consumer spending, which drives 70 percent of economic activity, were mixed. Some districts reported declines in retail sales and demand for hospitalit­y and leisure services as local government­s imposed stricter measures in an effort to contain the surge in virus cases.

“Although the prospect of COVID-19 vaccines has bolstered business optimism for 2021 growth, this has been tempered concern over the recent virus resurgence and the implicatio­ns for near-term business conditions,” the Fed said.

The Fed’s report, known as the beige book, will form the basis for discussion­s when central bank officials hold their next meeting on interest rates Jan. 26-27.

The Fed pushed interest rates down to a record-tying low of zero to 0.25 percent last March. The expectatio­n is that rates will remain at ultra-low levels through this year and beyond.

The beige book said that the demand for workers was the strongest in manufactur­ing, conTwo struction and transporta­tion, but employers in those industries were reporting difficulti­es filling job openings.

“These hiring difficulti­es were exacerbate­d by the recent resurgence in COVID-19 cases and the resulting workplace disruption­s in some districts,” the report said.

The leisure and hospitalit­y sectors reported further layoffs due to stricter containmen­t measures in response to a surge in virus cases.

Other risks are also hanging over the market, headlined by the worsening pandemic. Acceleratb­y ing coronaviru­s counts and hospitaliz­ations are doing more damage to the economy, and U.S. employers cut more jobs last month than they added for the first time since the spring.

Political uncertaint­y continues to engulf Washington. Investors have been looking past the political turmoil the most part, focusing instead on expectatio­ns for a stronger economy ahead.

President-elect Joe Biden is expected on Thursday to release details of his plan to support the economy. They could include bigger cash payments to most Americans.

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