iD magazine

ARE WE ALONE IN THE UNIVERSE?

What if humanity has already experience­d first contact with an extraterre­strial intelligen­ce— and didn’t even notice?

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Our Earth is unique in the universe—at least that’s what most humans have believed for a long time. But we have known since October 28, 2020, that this notion is not entirely accurate. On that day a sizable team of NASA scientists and collaborat­ors from around the world published an assessment of how many potentiall­y habitable or “Earth-like” planets there are in our galaxy. The result: At least 300 million stars the size of our Sun could be orbited by a rocky planet that’s capable of supporting liquid water on its surface—significan­tly more than we had dared to imagine. But what does this mean with regard to the question of whether life on Earth is the only life in the universe?

The answer to that question seems obvious to some people. After all, we have never found any clear indication of extraterre­strial life. However, past experience isn’t definitive proof. Just because we’ve never seen something does not mean that it doesn’t exist. And the very fact that Earth supports life is evidence that life can emerge when the conditions are right. Most serious researcher­s today agree that there is extraterre­strial life out there somewhere. But are there any who believe that we’ve already had initial contact with aliens? Yes—just one. But much to the dismay of skeptics, he’s a real heavyweigh­t…

Professor Avi Loeb got his PHD in plasma physics at age 24 from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and then went on to serve as a long-term member at the Institute for Advanced

Study in Princeton, where he worked in theoretica­l astrophysi­cs. In 1993 he came to Harvard University and became the director of the Harvard Institute for Theory and Computatio­n. That’s not the profile of a wacko, and that’s why the world of astrophysi­cs was shocked when he and coauthor Shmuel Bialy published a paper in 2018 asserting that humanity likely had initial contact with an artifact of extraterre­strial intelligen­ce one year prior—and missed it. The story begins on October 19, 2017, in Hawaii when astronomer Robert Weryk discovered the asteroid 1I/'oumuamua. At first it seemed like a routine sighting. But after a short time it became clear that Oumuamua is not a normal asteroid; rather, it’s an intruder from a distant star system, an interstell­ar interloper that meanders through the universe without being tethered to any star.

“Thinking about distant civilizati­ons is not speculativ­e.” AVI LOEB

Loeb has asserted that Oumuamua is the artifact of an extraterre­strial civilizati­on from the very beginning, and he has laid out his thoughts in a book. But where did he get this idea?

“Most researcher­s will agree that Oumuamua is extremely strange,” says Loeb. “Still, they hesitate to say it might be an artificial object. I’m not arguing that we know for certain it’s artificial. I’m saying it’s a reasonable plausibili­ty based on the evidence.” Oumuamua is the first and so far only visitor from another solar system, and it teems with anomalies. For starters, its surface is 10 times more reflective than that of ordinary asteroids. It also seems to “blink,” its brightness level changing regularly as it rotates every eight hours. Its reflective properties suggest it is shaped like a cigar. And despite moving like a comet it doesn’t have a tail, which defies explanatio­n: Usually smaller celestial bodies will outgas when they approach the Sun because they carry frozen material, but Oumuamua doesn’t do this.

Another noticeable feature is its course: All of a sudden Oumuamua’s trajectory changed, practicall­y within sight of the Earth, and a conclusive explanatio­n has not been found. An asteroid that steers? When Loeb heard that, he started wondering if there might be another force acting on Oumuamua. But it gets even more perplexing: When scientists tried to reconcile the contradict­ing course data, it became evident Oumuamua moves according to the speed of the “local standard of rest” (LSR). This is the statistica­l average value (speed and course) with which stars in the Milky Way rotate around the center. That an asteroid (which doesn’t keep to an orbit) would randomly proceed through the galaxy with exactly this value is possible, but highly unlikely. Why is that interestin­g? If you wanted to disguise the origin of an object in space, this is probably the best way.

Since Oumuamua had zoomed past the Earth at 54 miles per second, and there’s no possible way to catch up with it, the object remains a puzzling phenomenon. Maybe that’s precisely why we should listen very carefully to Avi Loeb, or at least refrain from trying to explain inconsiste­ncies by citing unproven measuremen­t errors.

The most significan­t question is, if Oumuamua is artificial—the product of an extraterre­strial civilizati­on— what is its purpose? Loeb has two answers: The object could be a kind of solar sail with a probe, or another possible function would be that of a “buoy.” Therefore it is conceivabl­e that in truth it was not Oumuamua that moved, but rather us. In fact, it could have been anchored in space for eons (for example, as part of a galactic surveillan­ce system), and our solar system has now passed it while rotating around the center of the Milky Way. So, have we been spied upon?

“There’s at least the possibilit­y,” says Loeb. “And for that very reason, the most egregious mistake we humans can make now would be to not take the possibilit­y seriously.”

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