Las Vegas Review-Journal (Sunday)

The Guardian on a more realistic approach to Ukraine (Dec. 10):

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A year ago, Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrived in Washington as not merely the respected leader of a courageous nation, but as a global star. His address to Congress was greeted with thunderous cheers. As he returns for a third trip Tuesday, he is seeking to win over key legislator­s, and the public, after Republican senators blocked $106 billion in aid, primarily for Ukraine and also Israel. They have tied the spending to U.S. immigratio­n measures. The administra­tion has warned that funding could run out by the end of the year. Kyiv is also trying to shore up support from its other main ally, the EU. In talks this week, Viktor Orbán, the Hungarian prime minister, is threatenin­g to veto 50 billion euros of support and is blocking progress on accession.

The failure of Ukraine’s counteroff­ensive has hit morale at home and enthusiasm for the cause abroad. Last month the commander in chief, Valerii Zaluzhnyi, acknowledg­ed the stalemate and warned that “there will most likely be no deep and beautiful breakthrou­gh.” This is now, more than ever, a war of attrition. Zaluzhnyi’s words demonstrat­ed not only frustratio­n but also the growing evidence of friction between political and military leaders. The U.S. is also more openly discussing difference­s, primarily over military tactics, but also over issues such as corruption.

Whether or not divisions have increased, there is more willingnes­s to air them. In a recent Time article, a close aide complained of the president: “He deludes himself. … We’re not winning.” Amid the exhaustion and despondenc­e, ordinary Ukrainians too are beginning to question his stubborn optimism. Zaluzhnyi is seen as a potential future political rival to Zelenskiy; another, Vitali Klitschko, the mayor of Kyiv, has claimed that Ukraine is “sliding into authoritar­ianism.” Politics is no longer frozen by the conflict. Yet the grumbling should not be overstated. There is little appetite for elections in Ukraine, or for seeking a ceasefire.

For all the high-flown rhetoric heard in 2022, and while people were genuinely moved by Zelenskiy’s performanc­e and the valor — and success — of Ukrainians in fighting back, internatio­nal support

was never chiefly about altruistic support for a heroic nation. Those ideals shored up public support, and encouraged countries to bear the costs of backing Kyiv, but shared values coexisted with a hard-headed recognitio­n of shared interests. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken was right to observe that Russia “won’t stop in Ukraine.”

Russia has no interest in a cease-fire at present. The West’s oil sanctions are no longer working. Vladimir Putin is eagerly anticipati­ng — and, presumably, working toward — a second Trump presidency, while relishing existing signs of “Ukraine fatigue.” He can muster personnel via mobilizati­on — though there may be some cost if he cannot produce victories to show for many more Russian deaths.

The reality is that the enthusiasm of 2022 was never going to be maintained indefinite­ly. War drains not only resources but also spirits. A more realistic acknowledg­ment of the likely length and costs of this war, and the potential range of outcomes, was always inevitable. It should not mean abandoning Kyiv. Ukrainians must decide if and when it is time for negotiatio­ns. Right now, Ukraine needs aid, and to begin accession negotiatio­ns with the EU. A year ago, Zelenskyy told Congress: “Your money is not charity. It’s an investment in … global security and democracy.” Whatever else has changed, that message stands.

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