Las Vegas Review-Journal

Quiet trading day yields a mixed finish

More reports show economy still stronger than expected

- By Stan Choe

U.S. stock indexes drifted to a mixed finish on Thursday in a quiet day of trading.

The S&P 500 fell 11.09 points, or 0.2 percent, to 5,011.12 after flipping between small gains and losses through the day. The drop was slight, but it was still enough to send the index to a fifth straight loss. That’s its longest losing streak since October, and it’s sitting

4.6 percent below its record set late last month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up by 22.07 points, or 0.1 percent, to 37,775.38, and the Nasdaq composite slipped 81.87, or 0.5 percent, to 15,601.50.

Equifax dropped 8.5 percent for one of the market’s bigger losses after it reported weaker revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected. High interest rates are pressuring its mortgage credit inquiry business.

Stocks broadly have been struggling recently as yields in the bond market charge higher. They’re cranking up the pressure because investors have largely given up on hopes that the Federal Reserve will deliver many cuts to interest rates this year.

Yields climbed a bit higher after more reports on Thursday showed the U.S. economy remains stronger than expected.

One report said fewer workers applied for unemployme­nt benefits last week than economists expected. It’s the latest sign that the job market remains solid despite high interest rates.

That resilience “continues to generate a solid flow of paychecks to keep fueling consumer demand,” according to Carl Riccadonna, chief U.S. economist at BNP Paribas. His team is forecastin­g the U.S. economy grew at a faster rate in the first three months of the year than other economists generally.

Another report on Thursday said growth in manufactur­ing in the mid-atlantic region accelerate­d sharply, when economists were expecting a contractio­n.

A third report said sales of previously occupied U.S. homes didn’t fall by quite as much last month as economists expected.

Similar such data, along with a string of reports showing inflation has remained hotter than forecast this year, pushed top Fed officials to say recently they could hold interest rates high for a while.

It’s a letdown after the Fed earlier had signaled three cuts to interest rates could be possible this year. But

Fed officials have been adamant they want to be sure inflation is heading down toward their 2 percent target before lowering the Fed’s main interest rate from its highest level since 2001.

Lower rates would juice the economy and financial markets, but they could also give inflation fuel to reaccelera­te.

Traders are now forecastin­g just one or two cuts to rates this year, according to data from CME Group, down from expectatio­ns for six or more at the start of the year.

In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.63 percent from 4.59 percent late Wednesday. The two-year Treasury yield, which moves more closely with expectatio­ns for Fed action, rose to 4.98 percent from 4.94 percent.

The hoped-for upside on Wall Street of a strong economy that’s keeping interest rates high is that it could also drive strong growth in profits. Companies will need to deliver such strength in order to justify the run stock prices have been on since late October, setting records along the way.

The recent drops for stock prices have made them look less expensive, but they won’t look cheap unless either prices fall further or profits jump higher.

In stock markets abroad, indexes rose modestly across much of Europe and Asia. South Korea’s Kospi was a standout. It jumped 2 percent to help lead markets worldwide.

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