Los Angeles Times

Unemployme­nt rate below 6%

The economy adds 248,000 positions; job growth in July, August is revised upward.

- By Jim Puzzangher­a

Job growth rebounds as rate falls faster than expected.

WASHINGTON — Job growth rebounded strongly last month and the unemployme­nt rate fell below 6% for the first time in more than six years, easing fears the labor market was faltering again and providing a boost to congressio­nal Democrats before the midterm elections.

Economists were relieved that an August hiring slowdown now appears to have been just an anomaly.

But they warned of worrisome signs in Friday’s Labor Department report — stagnant wages and more discourage­d jobless Americans dropping out of the workforce — that showed the recovery from th eGreat Recession still has aways to go.

“The trend is positive,” said Alan MacEachin, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, the nation’s largest credit union. “But there were somethings inthe report that continued to cloud the picture.”

The top- line numbers

excellent.

The economy added a robust 248,000 net new jobs, and the unemployme­nt rate dropped 0.2 percentage point to 5.9%, the lowest since July 2008, the Labor Department said.

Job growth in July and August also was revised upward by a total of69,000. That included lifting August’s disappoint­ing initial estimate of 142,000 net new jobs to 180,000.

The report triggered “a sigh of relief on both Wall Street and Main Street,” said prominent economist Sung Won Sohn, a professor at Cal State Channel Islands.

“August was an aberration, and we’re back to healthier growth and that’s good,” he said.

The report buoyed financial markets. The Dow Jones industrial average was up 208.64 points, or 1.24%, on Friday. Andthe dollar soared against major currencies.

Economists had expected job growth to improve last month, attributin­g the poor August figures to one- time and seasonal factors.

But the September increase was much better than the consensus forecast of 215,000 net new jobs and an unemployme­nt rate holding steady at 6.1%.

As the labor market struggled to grow early in the recovery, economists wondered whether the nation had entered an era where the unemployme­nt rate would never fall below 5%. The recession had pushed it to 10% in October 2009 and the rate remained at least 9% for nearly twomore years.

But now the rate is dropping faster than anticipate­d — 1.3 percentage points since September 2013.

“If you’d asked me, I wasn’t sure I’d ever see an unemployme­nt rate with a 5 in front of it during the Obama administra­tion,” Jason Furman, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, told CNBC on Friday.

The final jobs report before the Nov. 4 midterm elections was good news for Democrats. It came as President Obama sought this week to emphasize the progress the economy has made under his watch and gave the party something to tout in the final weeks of the campaign.

“This progress that we’ve been making, it’s been hard,” Obama said during an appearance Friday at an Indiana steel factory. “It goes in fits and starts. It’s not always been perfectly smooth or as fast as we want, but it is real and it is steady and it is hap were pening.”

But Republican­s were quick to point out the weaknesses the report showed still existed in the labor market.

“Optimists will spin the top- line numbers, and the administra­tion will tout them as well,” said Douglas Holtz- Eakin, president of the conservati­ve- leaning American Action Forum think tank. “But the underpinni­ngs of the decline in unemployme­nt and the absence of earnings growth are reasons to be cautious.”

Part of the reason the unemployme­nt rate fell last month was 97,000 adults dropped out of the labor force.

That accounted for about half of the 0.2- percentage­point decline in the September unemployme­nt rate, MacEachin said.

Discourage­d unemployed workers giving up their job searches has been a problem plaguing the recovery. The labor force participat­ion rate ticked down slightly in September, the second straight monthly decline. Last month’s level matched the lowest since1978.

Another negative was continued weakness in workers’ wages.

Average hourly earnings dropped a penny to $ 24.53 last month and have risen just 2% for the year that ended in September.

“What you’re seeing is a jobs market that’s improving slowly but still with enough slack to keep wages flat,” said Harry Holzer, a professor of public policy at Georgetown University and former Labor Department chief economist.

“When there’s a lot of slack in the labor market, employers can find theworkers they need without having to raise wages,” he said. “It remains a buyers’ market, and the buyers are the employers.”

MacEachin said the unemployme­nt rate would need to fall below 5.5% before wages start increasing significan­tly, which would provide consumers with more money to spend and boost economic growth.

Although hiring accelerate­d and the unemployme­nt rate dropped to a level Federal Reserve officials had forecast would not be reached until year’s end, there was still enough concern about the labor market that central bank policymake­rs are unlikely to raise interest rates before the middle of next year, Sohn said.

“At the Fed, some people thinkwages are more important than the jobs right now, and until and unless wages go up more rapidly, they may think twice about raising interest rates,” he said.

The labor market had been on its best hiring streak since 1997, adding more than 200,000 jobs a month from February through July before growth stumbled in late summer.

But August is historical­ly a tough month for job estimates. A grocery store strike and a shift in when automakers shut their factories for summer retooling also complicate­d the data.

For each of the last four years, figures for August have been revised upward in September and again in October by an average total of 80,000 jobs.

Part of the reason for September’s stronger jobgrowth was a rise in retail employment of 35,000.

Included in that was an increase of 20,000 jobs in food and beverage stores, largely reflecting the return of workers at the Market Basket grocery chain in New England, the Labor Department said.

Profession­al and business services, along with healthcare, also saw strong job growth in September.

But hiring by manufactur­ers continued to be sluggish. Those are the type of good- paying jobs that would increase average wages.

Factory payrolls rose by just 4,000 net new positions in September, an improvemen­t over August’s loss of 4,000 jobs but stillweak.

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