Los Angeles Times

Trillions of trees

Earth has about 3.04 trillion, but humans have cut down nearly that many too, a study says.

- DEBORAH NETBURN deborah.netburn@latimes.com Twitter: @DeborahNet­burn

That may sound like a lot, but before humans began clearing forests, Earth was home to nearly twice as many.

How many trees are there on planet Earth?

According to a new study, the answer is somewhere around 3.04 trillion.

That’s about 400 trees for every person.

And while that may seem like a lot, scientists say that before humans began clearing forests, the Earth was home to nearly twice as many trees.

“The number of trees cut down is almost 3 trillion since the start of human civilizati­on,” said Thomas Crowther, a postdoctor­al fellowat the Yale School of Forestry& Environmen­tal Studies and lead author of the study published this week in Nature. “That is an astronomic­al figure.”

Previous estimates of the Earth’s tree population put the number at 400.25 billion. That’s nearly an order of magnitude less than the new tally. ( The authors define “tree” as a plant with a woody stem that is at least 10 centimeter­s wide at breast height.)

Scientists say the discrepanc­y has to do with how the two estimates were calculated. Earlier studies used satellite data, but that was tricky because while satellites can accurately detect which areas of the planet are forested, in most cases they cannot see individual trees.

“Satellite images can tell you a lot about the forest area and canopy cover,” Crowther said. “What we provide is a more detailed understand­ing of what is going on beneath the surface.”

The new study incorporat­es satellite imagery, but it also relies on 429,775 ground- based measuremen­ts of tree density made by actual people who counted the number of trees in given areas.

“That is truly an amazing amount of field data,” said Marc Simard, a senior scientist in the Radar Science and Engineerin­g Section at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in La Cañada Flintridge who was not involved with the study. “And it enables the discovery of relationsh­ips between tree density, remote sensing measuremen­ts and environmen­tal factors.”

The ground- based data mostly came from inventorie­s of national forests in 21countrie­s in addition to other sources. The study authors were able to track them down from every continent except Antarctica.

Once the researcher­s had this ground- based data, they used computer models to predict howmany trees would be in a given area where only satellite and climate informatio­n was available.

Trees serve several crucial functions for the planet. Among other things, they create habitat for animals and plants and cycle water and nutrients through ecosystems. One of the most important roles that trees currently play is taking carbon dioxide out of the air and transferri­ng it to living things.

“Almost half of what comes out of our car tailpipes and factories gets absorbed by nature, and fromthis half, one- fourth of it goes to trees,” said Sassan Saatchi, who studies the planet’s carbon cycle at JPL.

Saatchi, whowas not involved in the Nature study, said that although estimating the number of trees on the planet is intriguing, the real value of the study for scientists and policymake­rs is that it lays out where those trees are located around the planet.

“It doesn’t matter that there are 3 trillion trees,” he said. “What matters is where they are distribute­d and whether they are being pressured by urban developmen­t or road developmen­t. For us, the spatial map is more attractive than just the number.”

Crowther and his colleagues report that 42.8% of the trees on our planet ( 1.39 trillion) are located in tropical and subtropica­l forests. Another 24.2% can be found in the boreal and tundra zones of Canada, Russia and northern China, where hearty coniferous trees grow in the densest forests on Earth, and 21.8% are in more temperate parts of the world, including the United States and Europe.

To determine how many trees used to be on the planet, Crowther’s team combined its new map of tree density with prediction­s from the United Nations Environmen­t Program of where forests used to be, based on the climate conditions of the pre- Pleistocen­e period.

“We could then identify howmany trees were within this area,” Crowther said.

The team used a similar technique to estimate that the planet was losing15 billion trees a year, with only 5 billion of them being replaced.

“If you do the math, the net loss is about one- third of a percent of all trees globally,” said Harry Glick, a postdoctor­al student at Yale who alsoworked on the study. “That’s not insignific­ant.”

Crowther added that one of the most dominant themes of the study is how large an effect humans are having on the planet’s tree population.

“Human activity came out as the strongest control on tree density across all biomes,” he said. “It really highlights howbig of an impact humans are having on the Earth on a global scale.”

‘ The number of trees cut down is almost 3 trillion since the start of human civilizati­on. That is an astronomic­al figure.’

— Thomas Crowther, postdoctor­al fellow at the Yale School of Forestry& Environmen­tal Studies

 ?? Marcus Yam
Los Angeles Times ?? IN SEQUOIA National Park, UC Berkeley biologist Anthony Ambrose conducts research on the effects of climate and water stress on trees. Scientists believe the Earth holds about 400 trees for every person.
Marcus Yam Los Angeles Times IN SEQUOIA National Park, UC Berkeley biologist Anthony Ambrose conducts research on the effects of climate and water stress on trees. Scientists believe the Earth holds about 400 trees for every person.

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