SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird” Holly Hunter, “The Big Sick” Allison Janney, “I, Tonya” Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water” Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound”
On the cusp: Melissa Leo, “Novitiate”; Hong Chau, “Downsizing”; Kristin Scott Thomas, “Darkest Hour”; Michelle Pfeiffer, “Mother!”; Kirsten Dunst, “The Beguiled”
Lurking: Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread”; Carrie Coon, “The Post”
Analysis: Hunter has four nominations, including the Oscar she won for “The Piano,” but hasn’t been tapped since 2004. Her turn as the protective mother in “The Big Sick” will likely return her to the nominees’ circle.
Spencer owns an Oscar too and earned a nod for last year’s “Hidden Figures.” Playing Hawkins’ loyal friend in “The Shape of Water,” Spencer doesn’t stray far from her likable, sweet- andsassy screen persona. But that’s OK. She wears it well.
Blige might be the most deserving of the group for her affecting work in “Mudbound.” Her nomination — as is the case with superb supporting actor candidate Mitchell — hinges on whether enough
voters watch the Netflix film. That’s no sure thing, as the makers of “Beasts of No Nation” could tell you.
As for Metcalf and Janney: Both have won countless awards — but never an Oscar. One of them probably will this year.