Los Angeles Times

Stocks end mostly lower after Fed-fueled rally fizzles

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Banks led U.S. stocks mostly lower Wednesday after a brief rally sparked by the Federal Reserve’s latest policy update faded.

The real action, though, centered in the bond market after the central bank said it had ruled out interest rate increases this year and issued a dimmer outlook on the U.S. economy.

That triggered one of the biggest slides for Treasury yields in months, knocking the 10-year Treasury yield as low as 2.53%, down from 2.61% late Tuesday and from 3.20% late last year. The twoyear Treasury yield, which is more influenced by Fed movements, fell to 2.39% from 2.45% late Tuesday.

Investors see Treasurys as a haven and bid up prices when they see trouble ahead, which causes the yield to fall. Yields have been falling steadily since November as worries rose about a slowing global economy. A halt in interest rate increases also makes existing bonds more attractive.

The Fed’s decision not to raise rates in 2019 is a marked change from three months ago, when the central bank projected two rate hikes in 2019. The move comes as Fed officials project that the U.S. economy will grow more slowly this year and in 2020, a change from the panel’s projection­s just three months ago.

The central bank also said it will stop shrinking its bond portfolio in September, which would help hold down long-term rates.

The Fed’s announceme­nt was clearly positive for the market, said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial.

“Powell’s suggestion that the Fed is on hold this year is important,” she said. “The question for the market remains whether or not the four rate hikes from last year and the unwinding of the balance sheet at the same time could be continuing, even now, to tighten financial conditions.”

The S&P 500 dropped 8.34 points, or 0.3%, to 2,824.23. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 141.71 points, or 0.5%, to 25,745.67.

The Nasdaq composite added 5.02 points, or 0.1%, to 7,728.97. The Russell 2000 index of smaller-company stocks gave up 11.83 points, or 0.8%, to 1,543.16.

It was only last autumn that interest rates were on the rise and rattling investors, who worried that an overly aggressive Fed would keep raising rates and choke off growth in the face of a slowing global economy. The Fed increased rates seven times over the last two years.

Besides encouragin­g more borrowing and economic growth, lower interest rates can make stocks look more attractive to investors, at least when compared with the lower amount of interest that bonds are paying.

On the losing end, though, are U.S. banks, whose profits can take a hit if the gap between short- and long-term interest rates narrows. Financial stocks in the S&P 500 fell 2.1% for the largest loss among the 11 sectors that make up the index. Bank of America lost 3.4%.

Developmen­ts in the trade talks between the U.S. and China helped pull the market lower earlier in the day.

Administra­tion officials are set to visit China for more negotiatio­ns late next week. Trump said the talks are “coming along nicely.” But the president also said that if negotiatio­ns result in an agreement, tariffs could stay in place for some time to ensure Beijing “lives by the deal.”

News of tighter supplies of oil and continued production cuts helped to briefly push the price of benchmark U.S. crude oil above $60 a barrel for the first time since November. It fell back slightly in afternoon trading, finishing with a gain of 1.4% to $59.83 a barrel.

Brent crude rose 1.3% to $68.50 a barrel. Wholesale gasoline added 1.2% to $1.92 a gallon, heating oil rose 0.9% to $2.01 a gallon and natural gas fell 1.9% to $2.82 per 1,000 cubic feet.

The dollar fell to 110.61 yen from 111.41 Japanese yen Tuesday. The euro strengthen­ed to $1.1446 from $1.1352.

Gold dropped 0.4% to $1,301.70 an ounce, silver lost 0.4% to $15.32 an ounce and copper gave up 0.1% to $2.92 a pound.

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