Once a bright spot in pandemic, Thailand faces a surge
BANGKOK, Thailand — When Thailand’s transportation minister was recently diagnosed with COVID-19, it was Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha who got a headache.
Prayuth was not particularly lauded for his leadership last year against the coronavirus, but for much of 2020 Thailand fought the disease to a standstill, with low infection and death rates envied by more developed countries.
Now, an outbreak at nightspots in the capital, Bangkok, has sent new infections surging, suggesting the country may have been lulled into a false sense of security before mass vaccinations begin.
New infections brought the tally Thursday to 37,453, with 97 deaths. While that is much better than most other countries, Thailand’s cases in the first three months of this year were triple what the kingdom had all of last year and its daily numbers are rising fast.
The new outbreak has spread among mostly young, affluent and mobile Thais, and some of the newly infected had the more contagious variant first identified in the U.K.
The government says Transportation Minister Saksayam Chidchob caught the virus from an aide who patronized some of the infectious nightspots, including a club described by Thai media as a glorified strip joint that was blatantly ignoring social distancing precautions. That has added to widespread skepticism over the government’s handling of the latest crisis.
Thailand only recently began easing strict border controls that for the last year have kept out most travelers, especially all-important tourists whose spending supports millions of jobs. The restrictions have included mandatory testing and 14-day quarantines for almost all arrivals.
Officials had appeared reluctant to impose sweeping restrictions such as curfews, bans on serving alcohol and closures of bars, parks and shopping malls that were the rule at this time last year, when Songkran, the Thai New Year holiday, was canceled.
This week, the holiday went ahead, and as many as 1 million Thais traveled to visit family or crowded onto beaches, even as some hospitals halted COVID-19 testing because of a rush by thousands of people worried they had been exposed or needing proof they were virus-free.
Some hospitals claimed to have run out of testing supplies, but the government said the real reason was an unintended consequence of a well-meaning regulation — they are required to admit infected patients right away, but believed they lacked enough beds to accommodate them.
Officials pivoted to allow referrals, and thousands of beds have filled up at field hospitals set up to house those with confirmed infections, following the government’s protocol of isolating all known patients. Online photos show exhausted medical staff in protective gear, sleeping slumped over on their desks and chairs.
A worst-case scenario from the Department of Disease Control’s epidemiology division calculated that without safety measures, the country could see more than 28,000 new cases a day.
“The situation is still worrisome; more measures are to come,” Dr. Opas Karnkavinpong, the department’s director-general, said Tuesday.
Gen. Natthapon Nakpanich, operations chief for the Center for COVID-19
Situation Administration, elaborated Wednesday, saying the government was considering instituting lockdowns in several areas after the holiday. They include Bangkok and its surrounding provinces, Prachuab Khiri Khan to the south, where the resort town of Hua Hin is, the northern city of Chiang Mai, and parts of the eastern seaboard, which includes Pattaya, another holiday destination.
On Tuesday, the government raised eyebrows by posting photos of soldiers spraying forest areas along the border, even though experts say the greatest virus risk is airborne.
The latest crisis has made glaringly apparent an Achilles’ heel in Thailand’s strategy, a failure to secure enough vaccine doses this year to inoculate a targeted 70% of the population believed necessary to achieve herd immunity.
So far, less than 1% of Thailand’s 69 million people have been vaccinated, a smaller proportion than in many of its Southeast Asian neighbors.
Thailand’s early success in containing the virus was remarkable given the millions of international travelers, especially from China, that it usually hosts each year. The first case recorded outside China globally was a Chinese traveler whose fever was detected at Bangkok’s airport.
It’s unclear why Thailand and several of its neighbors succeeded in constraining the pandemic for much of last year. The kingdom’s extensive and experienced public health system played a large role, and the government generally deferred to medical experts’ advice.
But the nation has paid a heavy price for its aggressive effort to control outbreaks: The economy contracted 6.1% in 2020 and and the resurgence of cases makes a tourism recovery unlikely anytime soon. Household debt rose 42% last year as incomes fell or stalled, to 87% of the country’s gross domestic product.
And Thailand’s lucky streak faded late last year, when a virus cluster was found among migrants working in factories and seafood markets and living in crowded dormitories. Severe restrictions and a massive testing campaign near the outbreak’s epicenter seemed to contain it after several weeks.
In early January, Prayuth said Thailand was trying to secure 63 million doses, which at two doses per person would cover less than half its population.
Local production of the AstraZeneca vaccine is expected to begin in June.
Complaints emerged that well-connected companies might profit unfairly from government contracts to produce and supply vaccines, allegations denied by the government and the companies involved.