Los Angeles Times

North Dakota schools fear fallout from Minnesota’s free tuition

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BISMARCK, N.D. — North Dakota higher education officials are deeply worried about losing students and revenue in 2024 when neighborin­g Minnesota makes public college and university tuition free for thousands of residents.

Officials estimate about 15,000 to 20,000 Minnesota students a year will use the free North Star Promise program, and North Dakota education officials are projecting an $8.4-million loss in combined tuition and fees in the first year alone, under one scenario.

Roughly 1,400 Minnesota students attending North Dakota colleges and universiti­es might be eligible for the new program.

“This has catastroph­ic implicatio­ns,” said David Cook, North Dakota State University’s president, at a recent State Board of Higher Education meeting. “This is a very serious situation for us.”

Minnesota students make up close to half the student body at North Dakota State in Fargo, their No. 1 out-of-state pick in their first year. They accounted for nearly 40% of the firstyear students at the University of North Dakota in Grand Forks and North Dakota State College of Science in Wahpeton in fall 2021.

“Probably half of our football team comes from Minnesota, so that’s kind of a big deal to us,” College of Science President Rod Flanigan said.

North Star Promise will cover undergradu­ate tuition and fees at Minnesota’s public postsecond­ary schools for students whose family income is below $80,000 after they’ve tapped other sources of financial aid. It will take effect in fall 2024.

Kari Rod, 38, of Brooklyn Center, Minn., said North Star Promise will help her go back to college and finish her degree without taking on more student loans, and encourage her 13-year-old stepson to enroll in-state after high school.

“Our family had seriously considered moving” so the teen could take advantage of a program that covers college tuition for students who graduate from public schools in Kalamazoo, Mich., Rod said. But after Minnesota’s program passed, they decided to stay.

The program also “opens up the world of possibilit­ies” for her 5-year-old’s future, Rod said.

According to the Campaign for Free College Tuition, a national nonprofit, more than half the states now offer some kind of free college tuition. Seven set few eligibilit­y limits. Many others, like Minnesota, have income limits, have merit requiremen­ts, or are limited to specific schools or majors.

The group says making higher education affordable for everyone is imperative to a workforce with the skills needed for the U.S. to compete in the global marketplac­e.

North Dakota state Sen. Tim Mathern, a Democrat, said he is drafting a bill similar to Minnesota’s program. He acknowledg­ed the headwinds Democrats face in North Dakota’s Republican-supermajor­ity Legislatur­e.

“I don’t think we should decry what Minnesota has done,” Mathern said. “We should be spending our time being creative about what our abilities are.”

North Dakota education officials estimate it would cost over $17.2 million annually to pay tuition and fees for all students eligible for federal Pell Grants, amounting to about 4,300 students at five schools.

Minnesota’s move hasn’t sparked the same fears in other neighborin­g states. University of Wisconsin officials are expanding a free tuition program that started at its flagship Madison campus to 12 more schools this fall.

The presidents of North Dakota State and the University of North Dakota are leading a group to address the potential effects of Minnesota’s free tuition on their schools, which are already recruiting students for fall 2024. Lawmakers also plan to explore the implicatio­ns through an interim legislativ­e panel ahead of the next session in 2025.

“When we have all these alternate [education] delivery methods, and we have a traditiona­l student base that is shrinking, and we have workforce issues — all of these things are creating an issue that’s bigger than a one-state response,” said Republican Rep. Mark Sanford, who chairs the panel.

Republican House Majority Leader Mike Lefor said he doesn’t want to “rush into a decision” on responding.

“We can’t just be reacting to different situations from different states,” Lefor told reporters.

North Dakota’s Legislatur­e this year froze tuition statewide for all students for the next two years, a move meant to be competitiv­e with neighborin­g states, including Minnesota.

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