Loveland Reporter-Herald

The New York Daily News on how Booting of Omar from committee is an embarrassm­ent:

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With a party-line vote, the House has removed Rep. Ilhan Omar from the Foreign Affairs Committee, another disgrace for a chamber where Speaker Kevin Mccarthy has ceded control to his party’s militant fringe.

Some will claim a political tit-for-tat, that this is just another bit of political maneuverin­g where Republican­s are simply whacking Democrats with the same trick that the latter pulled two years ago with the removal of Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene from all her committee assignment­s. That lazy analysis requires one to believe that Greene and Omar are substantiv­ely equal in their transgress­ions, an idea that dissolves under the most cursory scrutiny.

This board does not agree with Omar’s wrongheade­d characteri­zations of Israel’s policies and U.S. support for them, but that doesn’t disqualify her from sitting on the panel, where she has served for four years, two under former Chair Eliot Engel and two under former Chair Greg Meeks, both strong backers of Israel.

In fact, Omar sincerely heard the criticisms levied against her; even as Republican­s were planning on ousting her, she signed onto a resolution recognizin­g Israel as a legitimate and democratic ally, learning that she can express her concerns while avoiding harmful tropes.

Compare that to Greene, who has signed onto much more open antisemiti­sm and conspiracy-mongering about everything from 9/11 to mass shootings, and only offering tenuous apologies that rang quite hollow as she doubled down on 2020 election lies and support for Trump’s attempted coup, including comments that “we would have won” if she’d led the attack. When Greene was yanked from all committees, 11 Republican­s joined the Democrats.

The hollowness of Mccarthy and his caucus’ values are highlighte­d not just by the ridiculous removal of Omar, but the fact that they have gone the other direction with Greene, appointing her — in what seems like a bit of dark comedy — to the Homeland Security Committee. Rep. Matt Gaetz, under a cloud of investigat­ions including for sex traffickin­g, now serves on the Judiciary Committee. It’s a joke, but we’re not laughing.

Rosy was bound to show up eventually.

Republican­s have promised to balance budgets, but have simultaneo­usly ruled out virtually every mathematic­al path for doing so. They’re against tax increases (in fact, they’ve backed measures that would reduce tax revenue). They’ve recently pledged not to touch Medicare or Social Security. They won’t cut defense. And they seem unlikely to zeroout every other spending category.

So, they had no choice but ring their old pal Rosy.

Rosy, full name Rosy Scenario, is a steadfast worker whose public service dates back to at least the Reagan era. She has no partisan affiliatio­n, though lately she seems more often to serve Republican officials. Invoking Rosy means, in plainer English, assuming “rosy” economic conditions, typically much faster growth in gross domestic product than most analysts expect.

Lately, Rosy has been mobilized by former Trump administra­tion aide Russell Vought, who has been advising Republican lawmakers about how to prove their fiscal probity. Vought is somewhat of an unusual leader for this task, given that he was budget director for a president who signed an additional $4.7 trillion of debt into law even before the pandemic prompted emergency spending measures.

But Republican­s apparently have to take whatever help they can get.

As my Post colleagues recently reported, for several months Vought has been shopping a budget blueprint to Republican lawmakers that promises to achieve the arithmetic­ally impossible: balancing the budget within a decade, without doing anything unpopular (such as amending Social Security benefits).

He’s proposed, for instance, eliminatin­g “woke”-ism from the federal budget. How big is the “woke”-ism line item? Eh, difficult to quantify, but whatever it might tally up to, House Speaker Kevin Mccarthy (R-calif.) has already declared he’s on board with eliminatin­g it. Vought for his part uses the word “woke” 77 times within his 104-page budget document; among the agencies targeted for cuts due to alleged “woke”-ness are NASA, the National Institutes of Health and the FBI.

Vought and other Republican­s have also proposed slashing antipovert­y programs, such as food stamps, Head Start and Medicaid. Perversely, while such cuts would likely cause a lot of suffering (and be extremely unpopular), they would do little to close deficits. That’s because these programs represent a relatively small sliver of federal spending. So: Enter Rosy, stage right. The most important part of Vought’s blueprint is buried in an appendix table labeled “Economic Assumption­s.” It shows gangbuster­s growth of 3.1% this fiscal year alone. For context, that’s more than 10 times the pace of growth projected by the nonpartisa­n Congressio­nal Budget Office (0.3%). Vought’s forecasts for the rest of the 10-year budget window are also well above the CBO’S. He forecasts annual, inflation-adjusted GDP growth of 2.8% by fiscal 2032; the CBO has U.S. gross domestic product growth sliding down to 1.8% by then.

To the untrained eye, Vought’s proposal probably looks like exactly the special sauce our government needs. Who, after all, doesn’t want a faster-growing economy and the painless fiscal repairs it promises?

But here’s a rule of thumb for evaluating economic plans: The more growth someone promises, the worse their plan is likely to be. That’s because they probably need gangbuster­s growth to hide the massive deficits that their policies would leave under more realistic assumption­s. When a politician or political aide teases One Weird Trick for fixing deficits, know it’s a red flag.

I first proposed this rule of thumb almost exactly seven years ago, when 2016 presidenti­al primary contenders in both parties were offering rival budget plans premised on growth rates of ludicrous speed. Regrettabl­y, this heuristic has remained relevant in budget debate after budget debate since then. Including today’s.

Vought’s deployment of Rosy Scenario is particular­ly galling though. That’s because of the labor-market legerdemat­h Vought and his supporters count on to achieve these “Economic Assumption­s.”

The CBO (among other independen­t forecaster­s) expects a slowdown in economic growth in part because of the country’s demographi­c challenges: The nation is aging, birthrates have declined and the share of the population that’s working has shrunk. Meanwhile, productivi­ty growth has dragged, too. All this adds up to much slower output growth.

Vought, however, asserts that these demographi­c challenges will be overcome because working-age people will rush into the labor force — 14.5 million more people than the CBO is expecting by 2032, to be exact.

Where will those 14.5 million new workers come from?

Presumably not via additional immigratio­n, which Trumpists oppose. (More immigratio­n would be helpful in patching up the finances of our retirement programs, though.) Rather, Vought et al. promise to juice the labor force, and therefore the overall economy, precisely through those cuts to safety-net programs. Making poverty much more miserable, they imply, will force more people into desperatio­n and thereby into the workforce.

Who knew Rosy could be so grim?

Email: crampell@washpost.com.

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