Loveland Reporter-Herald

The New York Daily News on how the Federal Reserve has paused interest rate hikes:

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After 10 consecutiv­e interest rate hikes meant to squeeze down inflation, the Federal Reserve on Wednesday held steady at a benchmark rate of between 5 and 5.25%, indicating that the aggressive interventi­on has yielded results and the central bank is easing off. Let’s hope this pattern holds, because the consequenc­es of too much harsh medicine could be more dire than the ailment.

There are plenty of people who point out, correctly, that the current interest rates are still far below historical benchmarks and are coming after years of rates set effectivel­y at the “free money” mark. Yet the question isn’t only what the rates are, but how dramatical­ly they shift in how short of a time period, and on that front the Fed’s latest actions are eyepopping, if not unpreceden­ted.

Of course, these actions were taken to tamp down on runaway inflation. The proof is in the pudding now that inflation is cooling off and the indicators are looking good, though perhaps much of that has to do with supply chain issues outside of the Fed’s control. Nonetheles­s, we actually do seem headed for that fabled soft landing, with the hikes having so far not led to signs of an incoming recession.

There have been collateral consequenc­es — including the largest bank collapses since 2008 — and difficulti­es with people trying to finance home purchases, and any rise in unemployme­nt rates brings about pain, but so far those consequenc­es haven’t risked completely spiraling out of control. So why push our luck? .

If things are going in the right direction, let’s hope it is, because once the recession snowball starts, it’s very, very hard to stop.

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