Marin Independent Journal

Pac-12 postpones all sports until 2021

Virus forces first canceled fall season in more than 100 years

- Jon Wilner

Pac-12 football has overcome two World Wars, one Great Depression, the Spanish Flu, California earthquake­s and a slew of other epic societal events, but it couldn’t beat coronaviru­s.

The conference on Tuesday canceled the football season — and all sports competitio­n — until at least Jan. 1, 2021, according to a source, succumbing to the pandemic after months of planning and hoping that its money maker could somehow be salvaged.

“There were enough questions were raised that we didn’t feel comfortabl­e moving forward,” commission­er Larry Scott said during a webinar following the announceme­nt.

The decision came a short time after Big Ten presidents voted to shut down for the fall and was first reported by Stadium.

The SEC, ACC and Big 12 are, at least for the moment, planning to move forward along the daunting road to the regular season.

Pac-12 presidents made the decision following a report from the conference’s medical advisory committee, which outlined the health risks COVID-19 poses to players, the worrisome community spread in several areas and the testing challenges that schools would face attempting to create a safe environmen­t.

One of those health risks — perhaps the most fearsome — is myocarditi­s, an inflammati­on

of the heart that has been found in several college athletes during the pandemic, according to ESPN.

“We became more concerned about that,” said Dr. Doug Aukerman, Oregon State’s sports medicine director and chair of the Pac-12’s medical advisory board.

Each Power Five conference has relied for advice on its own COVID-19 experts. The Pac-12’s team has 14 members and includes infectious disease and public health specialist­s that are not affiliated with the football teams or athletic department­s.

“The No. 1 issue facing college football is getting all the Power Five set up with one medical advisory board,” a source said.

“If all the other leagues had the same medical informatio­n that we have, there’s not a president I know of that would look at what our (medical) staff provided and decide that it was OK to go forward.”

The Pac-12 has played football every year since the conference’s inception in 1916: Five teams participat­ed during the 1918 pandemic, while four schools played in 1943-44 during World War II.

The conference will explore restarting the season in the winter or spring of 2021, multiple sources indicated, but that move is fraught with logistical obstacles — even if the coronaviru­s risks have been brought under control.

Two stand out as particular­ly daunting: The physical demands that would come with playing two seasons in one calendar year; and the likelihood that many upperclass­men would skip a spring season in order to prepare for the NFL Draft (scheduled for April), leaving rosters depleted.

Were the Pac-12 to play early next year, it would likely be an abbreviate­d season — eight or 10 games of conference-only competitio­n.

“The spring would be hard,” a source said, “but we’ll take a look at it.”

The economic ramificati­ons of canceling the 2020 season are momentous for the conference’s athletic department­s, each of which generates in excess of $50 million annually — that’s well over 50 percent of their total revenue — from ticket sales, donations and media rights contracts tied to football.

The dark fall could result in massive budget cuts, possibly including layoffs and the eliminatio­n of Olympic sports teams, which are not profitable.

At least four schools, UCLA, Cal, Oregon State and Washington State, have accumulate­d tens of millions in debt in recent years.

However, the Pac-12 is considerin­g an escape hatch: A massive loan program would provide shortterm relief for the schools while using the Pac-12’s future media rights contracts as collateral.

The decision to cancel the season comes two weeks after the conference released a revised, 10-game schedule and one week before teams were permitted to begin training camp.

The college football dominos began to topple last weekend, when the Mid-American Conference announced that it had canceled the fall football season.

Many in the college football industry expected the Pac-12 to mirror the Big Ten’s decision — whether the latter opted to cancel or pause — because of their close associatio­n in the Rose Bowl and the academic ethos that permeates each league.

Thirteen schools from the Big Ten are members of the prestigiou­s Associatio­n of American Universiti­es, while nine members of the Pac-12 are in the AAU.

(The ACC has five, the SEC four and the Big 12 three.)

“They have always moved in lockstep,” a source said of the Pac-12 and Big Ten.

But the Pac-12 presidents seemed poised to cancel the season regardless of the Big Ten’s position.

“P12 on course to cancel,” a source texted Tuesday morning.

The motivation for shutting down, multiple sources said, was the informatio­n presented by the medical advisors.

Three issues dominated the report, according to a conference source:

VIRAL SPREAD. » Nine of the 11 local jurisdicti­ons that are home to Pac-12 campuses are currently experienci­ng dangerous or uncontroll­ed levels of community spread.

HEALTH RESTRICTIO­NS » Many teams would be limited in what they could do if training camp started today — the Los Angeles schools, for instance, have been cleared by state but not county officials to allow the quarterbac­ks and receivers to play catch.

“To see photos of Clemson in helmets and out on the field,” said a source familiar with the varying county guidelines, “it shows how far away the Pac-12 is.”

That’s an immediate concern; there also is a longerhaul issue: contact tracing protocols.

TESTING » The capacity, including turnaround time, simply hasn’t reached a threshold that would allow for safe competitio­n.

“We aren’t the NFL,” the source said. “We don’t have a contract with a private lab.

“Right now, testing is a way to control the spread. It’s not an effective prevention strategy. With the quick turn-around testing, it can be that.”

Additional­ly, the source added: “We are using up the resources of the public and our university hospitals.”

But why did the Pac-12 decide to cancel the season Tuesday, with competitio­n not scheduled to begin for more than a month?

Because training camp, slotted for Monday, means physical contact.

And because the Pac-12’s medical advisory teams recommende­d against physical contact.

And the Pac-12 — regardless of how the result is received publicly — followed the guidance of its medical team.

“There’s a lot of ‘We could do this,’ but the reality on the ground is different,” a source said.

“Just because we understand in theory what can happen to make this work, it doesn’t matter if we can’t actually do those things.”

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 ?? RALPH FRESO — THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILE ?? The Pac-12 logo is seen during the second half of an Aug. 29 game between Arizona State and Kent State in Tempe, Ariz.
RALPH FRESO — THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILE The Pac-12 logo is seen during the second half of an Aug. 29 game between Arizona State and Kent State in Tempe, Ariz.
 ?? D. ROSS CAMERON — THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, FILE ?? Commission­er Larry Scott speaks during the Pac-12’s college basketball media day in San Francisco on Oct. 8.
D. ROSS CAMERON — THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, FILE Commission­er Larry Scott speaks during the Pac-12’s college basketball media day in San Francisco on Oct. 8.
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