Russia, US downbeat ahead of Ukraine talks
GENEVA >> Russian and American officials appeared pessimistic Sunday that high-stakes negotiations would close the widening gulf between Moscow and the West, with a senior Russian official warning that the United States had a “lack of understanding” of the Kremlin’s security demands, and the United States voicing doubts over whether Russia was “serious” about de-escalating the Ukraine crisis.
The comments by Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov maintained the hardline rhetoric that some analysts and Western officials see as a possible prelude to new Russian military action against Ukraine and seemed to lower expectations just hours before he opened the session with a private dinner in a residential building on the Geneva lakefront with Wendy Sherman, the deputy secretary of state.
In remarks reported by Russian news agencies, Ryabkov
said he was intent on negotiating “dynamically, without pauses,” to prevent the West from “putting the brakes on all this and burying it in endless discussions.”
Ryabkov’s comments came several hours before Secretary of State Antony Blinken, appearing on several Sunday morning television programs, said he thought there was room for negotiation.
While he ruled out encroachments on Ukraine’s territorial integrity and reductions in American troop levels, he opened the door to a possible revival of a treaty abandoned by the Trump administration and mutual limits on where troops could be deployed and exercises conducted.
The negotiations, Blinken insisted, are “not about making concessions” under the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, eight years after it annexed Crimea.
“It’s about seeing whether, in the context of dialogue and diplomacy, there are things that both sides, all sides can do to reduce tensions,” he said on
CNN. “We’ve done that in the past.”
Several times Sunday, Blinken raised the possibility of reviving the Intermediate Nuclear Forces Treaty, which banned the deployment, in Europe or in Russia, of medium-range nuclear missiles. Both the Obama and Trump administrations accused Moscow of violating the accord, and the United States left the treaty in 2019.
“There may be ground for renewing that,” he said on ABC’s “This Week.”
And Blinken raised the idea of revising an agreement on the deployment of conventional forces in Europe that could keep military exercises far from borders — and thus reduce the fear that an exercise could become the leapingoff point for an invasion. “Those are certainly things that can be revisited if — if Russia is serious about doing it.”
The Russians were incensed this fall when the United States and allied NATO forces conducted exercises in the Black Sea, near the Ukrainian and
Russian coasts.
Privately, American officials have little hope that Putin would be satisfied with agreements that restore the status quo of a few years ago. And their concern is that the Russians will emerge from the Geneva talks, and others this week in Brussels and Vienna, declaring that diplomacy has failed — and that Putin will attempt to seize more of Eastern Ukraine, or carry out cyber or other attacks to cripple the government
in Kyiv.
Still, Blinken’s statements appeared intended to create an opening, leaving the possibility of moving some heavy weaponry out of Poland or limiting the scope of military exercises in Europe, in return for reciprocal actions by Russia — which presumably would have to include pulling troops back from the Ukraine border.
After a two-hour dinner with Sherman in Geneva on Sunday evening, Ryabkov
emerged sounding a slightly more positive tone. The talks were not “easy, but in principle, businesslike,” Ryabkov told reporters, adding, “I don’t think we will be wasting time tomorrow.”
Sherman did not comment publicly after the meeting, but the State Department released a statement saying she had told Ryabkov that “discussion of certain subjects” would have to wait for this week’s talks in Brussels and Vienna, which will include U.S. allies.
Russia is seeking what it calls “security guarantees” from the United States and the NATO alliance that would essentially grant the country the kind of sphere of influence it has not enjoyed for more than 30 years, including Ukraine and other post-Soviet countries in Eastern Europe. The Kremlin has been backing up those demands by massing tens of thousands of troops and equipment near its border with Ukraine, signaling that it is prepared to use force if diplomacy fails.