Marin Independent Journal

Restrictin­g natural gas across state a recipe for blackouts

- By Lance Christense­n Lance Christense­n is the vice president of government affairs at the California Policy Center.

First, it was fossil-fueled power plants. Then it was emissions-free nuclear power. Now they're aiming for natural gas stoves and appliances.

Cities across California are enacting bans or restrictio­ns on natural gas. Last year, the state advanced a plan that says every new home needs to be “electric-ready,” which is regulators' code for “we can't ban natural gas, so we'll just mandate that you install something else to make it cost prohibitiv­e.”

All of this assumes that renewable energy alone can power a modern industrial economy. Yet those advocating for this “Neverland” are rarely held to account for the physical limitation­s and economic costs of their solutions. Instead, California­ns pay the price with blackouts and some of the highest electricit­y prices in the country.

Unlike natural gas or nuclear power, renewables are dependent on the weather, and electrons can't be generated when families need them most.

Researcher­s from UCLA found that “daily peaks in gas use don't coincide with the times that renewable energy sources are producing the most energy.” When people need to use their stoves, water heaters and air conditione­rs, renewables can't power them.

Gov. Gavin Newsom acknowledg­ed this two years ago when the lights literally went out for millions of California­ns. Newsom said there were “gaps” in reliabilit­y when families and businesses needed energy the most, even as he bizarrely committed to continuing shutting down fossil-fuel power plants that are needed to fill those gaps.

The idea that we can switch more than 11 million natural gas customers in California to electricit­y without causing blackouts isn't backed by physics.

But it's not just gas stoves and household appliances. This fantasy includes converting all passenger cars and trucks in California to run on electricit­y — a plan that would further raise energy demand by as much as 25%.

California is the largest importer of electricit­y of any state and can't seem to keep the lights on as it is. Yet policymake­rs are pushing us headlong into another energy crisis by pretending the wind and sunshine will save us.

Then there's the sheer cost of replacing much of our energy infrastruc­ture. The same researcher­s at UCLA who raised concerns about how well renewables can replace gas also said that “gas is four to six times cheaper than electricit­y.” So even if we could meet this enormous new demand for electricit­y, efforts to ban gas stoves and water heaters would cause monthly energy bills in California to skyrocket.

Ask anyone living paycheck to paycheck, this is a scary thing to consider especially when recognizin­g the average consumer in California already pays two to three times more for electricit­y than the national average. And the drought drains the state's ability to produce electricit­y when there is no water to run through our hydroelect­ric dams.

The growing trend of “environmen­tal justice” is supposed to give low-income families and disadvanta­ged communitie­s a bigger role in decision-making, but ends up stripping resources from them. Attempts to ban natural gas, as one columnist recently wrote, “are, in fact, regressive energy taxes that will hurt low- and middle-income consumers and in doing so, exacerbate California's poverty problem.”

Electric-only advocates ignore basic economics and are now veering us into an idiosyncra­tic terrain, suggesting that your gas stove — an appliance that homeowners have used safely for decades — is secretly spreading cancer and asthma. Even the New York Times suggested such claims are overblown.

Last year, California Assemblyme­mber Jim Patterson, vicechair of the Assembly Committee on Utilities and Energy, rang the alarm bells. “We cannot keep the lights on without additional natural gas,” Patterson said, “and the state's been forced to go out and find it in an emergency situation.”

Patterson is right. But will anyone listen?

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