`Now or never': Young Nigerians pinning hopes on key election
Frustrated by high unemployment and worsening violence, many younger Nigerians are flocking to a candidate outside the political mainstream in this month's presidential election.
Despite being Africa's largest economy and and one of its top oil producers, Nigeria is in economic crisis. A currency reform effort has left many unable to access their own money, even to buy food. Meanwhile, extremist violence has continued, leaving thousands dead in the past year. Many young people have left the country, seeing no future at home. But many of those who have stayed hope the Feb. 25 election will bring real change.
So many people registered to vote that many spent days waiting in line to collect permanent voter cards, which are required to cast a ballot. Nigeria's election commission extended the deadline to collect the cards by two weeks in response.
On Feb. 25, voters will choose among 18 candidates in a first-round vote to succeed incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari, who is winding down his second and final term. A runoff will be held unless one candidate gets at least onequarter of the votes in each of at least two-thirds of all the states.
“Either we get things right now in Nigeria, or never,” said Kingsley Chima, 26, as the first-time voter waited to collect his voting card from Nigeria's election commission.
Nigeria is Africa's most populous country, with more than 210 million people, and it has at least 93 million registered voters, almost 40 percent of whom are under 35. The country has one of the world's largest youth populations, with about 64 million people aged 18-35 and a median age of 18.
Young people have made a third-party candidate with social media appeal into a serious contender in the polls.
That's surprising in a country where elections have long been usually dominated by Nigeria's two largest parties.
Bola Tinubu, 70, of the All Progressives Congress has served as governor of Nigeria's economic hub of Lagos, while Atiku Abubakar, 76, of the Peoples Democratic Party has served as Nigeria's vice-president. Tinubu was an important backer of the current president, and is known as a key funder for the ruling APC. Abubakar, one of Nigeria's richest businessmen, ran for president in 2019 and lost to Buhari.
Both men have been fixtures in Nigerian politics since 1999.
In 2015, Buhari rode a wave of goodwill to power by promising to curb Nigeria's rampant corruption and extremist insurgency, but he failed to make headway on either challenge. Frustration with mainstream parties made room for former governor Peter Obi, 61, to position himself as a change candidate.
“The hopes we placed in the current president have been crushed,” said Rinu Oduala, a youth activist. Oduala was among the leaders of unprecedented nationwide demonstrations held in 2020 by young Nigerians to protest police brutality and bad governance. Now, she's mobilizing voters, supporting Obi.
Initially seen as an underdog with little political experience, Obi has emerged as a leading candidate, coming ahead of or close behind Tinubu and Abubakar in most polls. He's the candidate of the Labour Party, which won 5,074 votes in the 2019 presidential election, under a tenth of one percent of the vote.
He's spoken to young people, promising jobs, and to Nigeria's vast diaspora, promising changes that will give them a reason to return.
Tinubu has focused on another bloc: Nigeria's Muslim majority. Presidential candidates usually balance their tickets, choosing a running mate from the other side of Nigeria's religious divide, but the APC candidate has chosen a fellow Muslim. Some members of the ruling party see the Muslim-Muslim presidential ticket as Tinubu's biggest chance of securing votes in the Muslim-dominated north, which has more registered voters than the Christian-dominated south.
That strategy could deepen the country's religious divisions, said Hassan Idayat, who leads the Center for Democracy and Development, Nigeria's largest democracy-focused group.