Miami Herald (Sunday)

Time running out on the last U.S.-Russia nuclear arms treaty

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Time is running out on an arms control treaty that, if it expires, will leave the world with no legal restrictio­ns on U.S. and Russian nuclear weapons for the first time in nearly half a century.

If President Donald Trump doesn’t extend the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty — only remaining U.S.-Russia arms control pact — or succeed in negotiatin­g a replacemen­t treaty, it will expire on Feb. 5, 2021.

Russia has offered to extend New START for up to five years, but Trump is holding out. He thinks China, which is expected to double its stockpile of nuclear weapons in the next decade, should have to sign on to a nuclear arms control accord, too.

The future of New START was further called into question with Trump’s announceme­nt Thursday that the U.S. intends to withdraw from another treaty that permits observatio­n flights over the U.S., Russia and more than 30 other nations.

Trump voiced his desire for a three-way arms control agreement months ago, but that effort is still in the starting blocks.

The U.S. and Russia have about 91 percent of the world’s nuclear warheads, according to the Federation of American Scientists.

The U.S. has 3,800 in its stockpile and Russia has 4,310. China has 320 nuclear warheads, although the Defense Intelligen­ce Agency predicted last year that China was likely to at least double the size of its stockpile during the next 10 years.

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