Miami Herald

Debris from a Chinese space rocket is crashing toward Earth

- BY BRUCE EINHORN AND SHIRLEY ZHAO

Debris from a Chinese rocket is set to crash to Earth some time over the next few days, with the potential for wreckage to land across a wide swathe of the globe.

Part of a Long March 5B rocket China launched on July 24 will make an uncontroll­ed reentry around July 31, according to the Aerospace Corp., a nonprofit based in El Segundo, California, that receives U.S. funding.

The possible debris field includes much of the U.S., as well as Africa, Australia, Brazil, India and Southeast Asia, according to Aerospace’s prediction­s.

Concern over the reentry and the impact it could have is being dismissed by China, however, with statebacke­d media saying the warnings are just “sour grapes” from people resentful of the country’s developmen­t as a space power.

“The U.S. is running out of ways to stop China’s developmen­t in the aerospace sector, so smears and defamation became the only things left for it,” the Global Times newspaper reported, citing Song

Zhongping, a television commentato­r who closely follows China’s space program.

“The U.S. and Western media deliberate­ly exaggerate and exaggerate the ‘loss-of-control’ of the Chinese rocket debris and the probabilit­y of personal injury caused by the rocket debris, obviously with bad intentions,” Shanghaiba­sed news site Guancha.cn said Tuesday.

The descent of the booster, which weighs 25.4 tons, would be part of what critics say is a series of uncontroll­ed crashes that highlights the risks of China’s escalating space race with the U.S..

“Due to the uncontroll­ed nature of its descent, there is a non-zero probabilit­y of the surviving debris landing in a populated area — over 88% of the world’s population lives under the reentry’s potential debris footprint,” Aerospace said Tuesday.

In May 2021, pieces of another Long March rocket landed in the Indian

Ocean, prompting concern that the Chinese space agency had lost control of it.

“It is clear that China is failing to meet responsibl­e standards regarding their space debris,” NASA Administra­tor

Bill Nelson said that month. “It is critical that China and all space faring nations and commercial entities act responsibl­y and transparen­tly in space to ensure the safety, stability, security, and longterm sustainabi­lity of outer space activities.”

China’s most recent launch, which sent a module to the nation’s space station, included a booster to put the spacecraft into orbit.

That booster is now “dead” and beyond the control of the Chinese space agency, said Jonathan McDowell, an astrophysi­cist at the Center for Astrophysi­cs, which is operated by Harvard University and the Smithsonia­n Institutio­n.

“The Chinese are right that the best bet is that it will fall in the ocean,” he said, although “there are plenty of populated areas” within the rocket booster’s range.

More debris may fall to Earth later this year, when China will be launching another Long March rocket to the space station, McDowell said.

China is closely following the reentry of the booster from this week’s launch, Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said at a regular press briefing in Beijing Wednesday.

“It is customary for internatio­nal practice for rockets’ upper stages to burn up in the Earth’s atmosphere on reentry,” said Zhao. “Right from the research and developmen­t stage of the space engineerin­g program, it is designed with considerat­ion for debris mitigation and return from orbit.”

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