Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

PolitiFact: State’s deal with Foxconn a gift? We check it out.

- TOM KERTSCHER Email:tke rt sc her@ journal sentinel.com. Twitter: twitter .com/kertschern­ews. Facebook: fb.com/politifact­wisconsin

Perhaps it shouldn’t be surprising that when it comes to the $10 billion, 20 million-squarefoot factory being promised to Wisconsin, some statements border on the extreme.

Foxconn “is bringing” 13,000

jobs. Half True.

3,000 Foxconn jobs would cost Wisconsin $3 billion, or $1 million

per job. False. Now comes a claim, made in response to a boast by Gov. Scott Walker, that the $3 billion incentives offer is the largest of its kind. The exchange occurred Aug. 7 exchange on Twitter, a week and a half after Foxconn, the maker of iPhones and other electronic­s, announced it would be coming to Wisconsin.

Walker tweeted:

Our bold reforms have prepared WI for Foxconn & thousands of jobs. Hard-working families will reap the benefits! #WIWinning One Wisconsin Now, a liberal advocacy group, retorted:

You are willing to give the largest gift ever by a state to a foreign company. You got #foxconned, big guy.

Wisconsin clearly isn’t offering a gift. The incentives are tied to Foxconn making investment­s in the plant and in payroll.

But the best available source indicates the $3 billion would be the largest ever subsidy provided by a state to a foreign company.

One Wisconsin Now’s evidence

To back its claim, One Wisconsin Now cited June 2017 data

from Good Jobs First, a Washington, D.C., nonprofit that calls itself “a leading monitor and critic of company-specific subsidy deals,” and has called the the Foxconn deal “a sure loser for Wisconsin taxpayers.”

We checked with a number of experts on subsidies and none said they knew of any other compilatio­n of subsidies.

The experts include Todd Berry, president of the nonprofit Wisconsin Taxpayers Alliance; Jon Peacock, director of the nonprofit Wisconsin Budget Project; and economists Michael Leeds of Temple University, Charley Ballard of Michigan State University, Jeffrey Michael of the University of Pacific in Stockton, Calif., Sean Snaith at the University of Central Florida; Ball State University’s Michael Hicks; and Tim Bartik of the Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.

Hicks, who heads Ball State’s Center for Business and Economic Research, told us that while he hasn’t always agreed with analyses done by Good Jobs First, the group’s data on subsidies is solid. And Bartik said it is the best such database he knows.

The top 11 subsidies given to companies by states, cities or counties, according to Good Jobs First, are all to American companies. The largest is the State of Washington’s $8.7 billion in tax breaks to Boeing in 2013.

At No. 12 is the estimated $1.65 billion in tax credits Pennsylvan­ia approved for Royal Dutch Shell, which is based in The Netherland­s. That package of tax breaks over 25 years was aimed at getting the company to build an ethane refinery that would include a minimum investment of $1 billion and employ at least 2,500 people.

Using the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index inflation calculator, $1.65 billion in 2012 was worth about $2.39 billion as of July 2017 — so, still well below Wisconsin’s $3 billion offer to Foxconn.

(The Good Jobs First database does not take inflation into account.)

But there are at least two important points to consider.

1. The $3 billion wouldn’t be a gift, as One Wisconsin Now calls it. That’s the maximum amount the state would pay Foxconn, and only if the company spends roughly $18 billion — about $9 billion for payroll and $9 billion in capital investment­s.

2. It’s difficult to calculate the value of the jobs that the various incentives are aimed at creating — or keeping. Some jobs pay more than others, of course. And some businesses are more likely than others to attract suppliers that might, in turn, create more

PolitiFact on TODAY’S TMJ 4

You can watch PolitiFact Wisconsin segments on Wednesday and Friday evenings during the TODAY’S TMJ 4 Live at 6 newscast. jobs in a state.

Supporters of the Foxconn deal say Wisconsin would win a keystone manufactur­er that would bring world-leading technology and attract suppliers that would create their own jobs. Critics say it amounts to a multibilli­on-dollar bet on a company that makes screens — a product subject to constant market-disrupting competitio­n and innovation.

Our rating

One Wisconsin Now says Wisconsin’s $3 billion incentive offer to Foxconn is “the largest gift ever by a state to a foreign company.”

The $3 billion wouldn’t be given — it would be paid, in increments, based on how much Foxconn spends on capital investment­s and payroll.

But the only compilatio­n of government subsidies we found shows that the Foxconn offer would exceed the highest subsidy provided to a foreign company — $1.65 billion in 2012, made by Pennsylvan­ia to Dutch Royal Shell, based in The Netherland­s.

For a statement that is partially accurate but leaves out important informatio­n, our rating is Half True.

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