Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Is Jeffries’ debt claim about Trump true?

- Louis Jacobson

As White House and congressio­nal Republican negotiator­s met to hammer out a way to raise the nation’s debt limit, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., cast blame for the nation’s $31 trillion-plus debt on the most recent Republican president, Donald Trump.

The debt limit could be met as soon as early June, and a failure to raise the limit could force the government to default on payments to bondholder­s, federal employees, contractor­s and beneficiaries of programs such as Social Security. Republican­s have proposed raising the limit in tandem with spending cuts, but the White House considers the scale of the Republican­s’ proposed cuts untenable.

In a May 12 tweet, Jeffries said Republican­s were to blame for much of the debt. Jeffries wrote, “Trump ran up more debt than any other President in American history. He wants Republican­s to force a dangerous default if they don’t get their way. We cannot let rightwing extremists hold our economy hostage.”

Strictly speaking, former President Barack Obama accumulate­d more debt than Trump. But Trump accumulate­d the most debt per year served in office.

Jeffries’ office did not answer an inquiry for this article.

What are the numbers?

Treasury Department data shows the gross federal debt rose by about $7.8 trillion on Trump’s watch. But that wasn’t the biggest increase of any president in raw dollars.

The record for the largest increase was set by President Barack Obama, with more that $9.5 trillion.

One caveat: Obama’s figure is larger than Trump’s partly because Obama served eight years, while Trump served four.

If you adjust the measuremen­t for that reality by looking at debt accumulate­d per year in office, Trump does stand alone.

If you divide the debt accumulate­d during each president’s tenure by the number of years they served, Trump oversaw an increase in the debt of almost $2 trillion per year. President Joe Biden has overseen the addition of almost $1.6 trillion per year in his 21⁄3 years in office, which ranks second. In third place is Obama, who presided over the addition of nearly $1.2 trillion a year.

Why president-to-president comparison­s are hard

The blame game on federal debt is not clear cut.

Much of the current federal debt stems from mandatory payments, such as those for Social Security and Medicare. These began spiking when the baby boom generation started drawing heavily from these programs around 2010. Not coincident­ally, that’s when the federal debt began accelerati­ng.

Generation­s of politician­s in both parties approved and modified these programs long before Trump took office.

“It is always challengin­g to figure out how much spending was on whose watch,” said Steve Ellis, president of the federal budget-watching nonprofit group Taxpayers for Common Sense.

The biggest single spikes in the federal debt came from the initial rounds of coronaviru­s relief legislatio­n in 2020. Trump signed them, but they passed with broad bipartisan support.

“Everyone, including me, said it was worth it, and without it, things would have been worse,” said Douglas HoltzEakin, president of the center-right American Action Forum. “So, (it’s) not fair to blame Trump exclusivel­y for something everyone thought was needed.”

Our ruling

Jeffries said Trump “ran up more debt than any other president in American history.”

Obama ran up more debt than any other president in American history. If you look at debt accumulate­d on a peryear basis, Trump’s rate of increase in the debt was higher over four years than over Obama’s eight.

Assigning debt to a particular president can be misleading because so much of it traces back to decades-old, bipartisan legislatio­n that set the parameters for Social Security and Medicare.

The statement contains an element of truth but ignores evidence that would give a different impression, so we rate it Mostly False.

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