Morning Sun

Mysterious plumes of methane gas appear over Bangladesh

- By Aaron Clark, Jin Wu and Arun Devnath

One of the countries most vulnerable to climate change has also been revealed as a major contributo­r of methane, a greenhouse gas that’s about 80 times more potent in its first two decades in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide. The 12 highest methane emission rates detected this year by Kayrros SAS have occurred over Bangladesh, according to the Parisbased company, one of several that specialize in analyzing satellite observatio­ns to locate leaks. “It has the strongest sustained emissions we’ve seen to date where we can’t clearly identify the source,” said Stephane Germain, president of GHGSAT Inc, which also picked up the plumes.

Bluefield Technologi­es Inc., which analyzed European Space Agency data to identify a large methane plume in Florida in May, also detected the concentrat­ions over Bangladesh. “Our analysis shows that Bangladesh has some of the highest methane emissions in the world that can be detected by satellites,” said Yotam Ariel, the company’s founder.

Scientists are just beginning to pinpoint the biggest sources of methane. Observatio­ns from space can be seasonal due to cloud cover, precipitat­ion and varying light intensity. Satellites can also have difficulty tracking offshore emissions and releases in higher latitudes such as the Arctic, where Russia has extensive oil and gas operations. Because of these limitation­s existing data isn’t yet globally comprehens­ive.

But the emissions over Bangladesh are drawing attention. Its low elevation and high population density make it particular­ly vulnerable to extreme weather events and rising oceans. The country chairs the Climate Vulnerable Forum, whose 48 members represent 1.2 billion people most threatened by climate change.

“We’re aware of the problems,” Bangladesh’s Environmen­t and Climate Change Minister Shahab Uddin said in an interview. The bulk of the methane likely came from rice paddies, he said. When farmers flood their fields, bacteria in the waterlogge­d soil can produce large quantities of the gas. “The other source is the landfill gas,” Uddin said, released when trash breaks down. “We’re working to take mitigation measures.” domesticat­ed livestock, leaks from the oil and gas industry, landfills and coal mining are just some of the human activities that result in methane emissions, according to the Global Methane Initiative. At least a quarter of today’s global warming is caused by man-made methane emissions, the Environmen­tal Defense Fund estimates.

Methane concentrat­ions in Bangladesh likely originate from a combinatio­n of sources including paddy fields, landfills, leaky natural gas pipelines and coal stockpiles, according to Kayrros. The company uses data from the ESA’S Sentinel-5p and Sentinel-2 satellites. It ran a dispersion simulation that takes into account atmospheri­c conditions such as wind, that can move methane plumes away from their source.

“It’s a great example of how better monitoring and data analysis can pinpoint emissions sources and open up opportunit­ies to tackle both greenhouse gas emissions and, in other cases, air pollutant emissions,’’ said Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst with Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air.

Methane is a particular concern for those working to slow the pace of climate change. The gas is odorless and colorless, making leaks extremely difficult to detect. Halting accidental emissions from energy infrastruc­ture is some of the lowest-hanging fruit because companies stand to benefit from cleaning up operations. They’re losing product that could have been sold and risk reputation­al damage as investors such as Blackrock Inc. demand higher standards.

“The methane concentrat­ions we see over Bangladesh are a signal and deserve more study,” said Steven Hamburg, chief scientist at the EDF, which plans to launch its own satellite to track methane emissions next year. “It will require more work to make reliable quantitati­ve estimates of emissions and determine sources.”

The ability to attribute leaks to individual operators is getting closer as more satellites are launched that offer greater precision and more frequent coverage.

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