New York Daily News

Greener eyeshades

-

Is the free-spending, hiring-happy de Blasio administra­tion ready for a potential economic downturn? A couple of admittedly small clouds on the horizon force a reality check. City Council analysts noted a decline in tax revenues between April and August — down 0.9% from the same period last year.

Meanwhile, September unemployme­nt jumped to 5.8% — up from 5.2% that month a year ago — even as the share of the population in the labor force fell.

Perspectiv­e: Tax revenues are still quite healthy, and unemployme­nt is still well below the 7.5% average over the last decade. Private-sector jobs remain close to an all-time high.

Still, it’s the job of city budget wonks to gird obsessivel­y for the bad times even when the good are rolling. That’s not happening nearly enough.

Instead of being on notice to demonstrat­e efficiency, agencies have been encouraged to spend. The city’s hiring is surging to an anticipate­d target of 323,000 by next summer — well above the prerecessi­on record set in 2008.

As the Citizens Budget Commission noted earlier this year, the de Blasio Citywide Savings Program is for a paltry 0.6% of city-funded spending.

Reserves are at a record level in strict dollars — $5 billion — but not as a percentage of a budget growing by leaps and bounds. That denominato­r, partially driven up by the necessary settlement of expired labor contracts, has risen by $12 billion in the three years since the mayor took office, $2.7 billion in just the last year.

Besides, the largest chunk of reserve cash is the Retiree Health Benefits Trust. Given the city’s $70 billion liability for future retiree benefits, the mayor should keep the trust’s funds off the table in the event of a financial shortfall.

De Blasio’s far from running the budget headlong off a cliff. But in a volatile economy — hell, we could even get a President Trump — that’s hardly the standard to hold him to.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States