RAVENS at CHIEFS

1 p.m., Chiefs by 6 ½, 53

HANK’S HONEYS: The Chiefs survived the release of Kareem Hunt against the Raiders but this is a different defense. The Ravens have been playing inspired football behind Lamar Jackson (averaging 28 ppg in his four starts) who can attack the Chiefs’ 27th-ranked defense where they are weakest – against the run. A ball control attack, keeping Patrick Mahomes on the sideline, is the best way to slow down KC’s offense. What’s more, the Ravens also have an aggressive defense that can unsettle Patrick Mahomes with the blitz. The Ravens haven’t been this much of an underdog in two years and the number is just too high considering Baltimore’s stingy defense. IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Ravens and the under.