Pros not sure if bug will zap or lift Don in Nov.

It’s the $2020 million question — and there’s no easy answer.

Will President Trump’s leadership in the coronavirus crisis help him win reelection in November? Or will a severe pandemic-induced recession torpedo his chances of scoring four more years in the White House?

Political junkies are scratching their heads, and some candidly admit they just don’t yet know.

But most predict the prospect of an economic nosedive will likely outweigh any bounce Trump gets from Americans rallying behind a leader in troubled times.

“A key piece of Trump’s argument for reelection was always going to be his handling of the economy,” said Nathan Gonzales of Inside Elections. “If you take that away, it starts to look very difficult for him.”

“He’s put a lot of stock in the economy,” added Miles Coleman, an analyst at the University of Virginia. “He doesn’t have that anymore.”

Needless to say, the 2020 crystal ball is badly clouded by the reality that no one knows how bad the pandemic will get.

And it’s not certain how Trump’s fervent critics — and just as passionate supporters — will respond to his unorthodox crisis leadership style, especially as the crisis deepens and the death toll rises.

For now, the so-called “rally ’round the flag” factor seems to be helping Trump.

Even as Trump endures biting criticism from some, his approval rating has risen to the strongest point in his presidency. Several polls now say about as many Americans approve of the job he’s doing as not.

But some caution that Trump is enjoying a much smaller calamity bump than other leaders like George W. Bush after the Sept. 11 attacks. Even Jimmy Carter had a 60% approval rating at the onset of the Iran hostage crisis.

An even bigger elephant in the 2020 room, they insist, is the tumbling economy.

There is literally an entire school of political science thinkers who believe the results of presidential elections can basically be predicted by the condition of the economy during the campaign.

To put it bluntly, that isn’t good news for Trump.

With coronavirus virtually shutting down the economy, America is basically already in a recession. And things will likely get worse before they get better.

Even Republican analysts predict unemployment will quickly skyrocket to 10% or higher. The president’s best hope would be that things start to bounce back in the fall as Election Day nears.

“Presidents tend to get more of the blame than they deserve when the economy is bad and more of the credit than they deserve when it’s good,” Gonzales noted.

Polling guru Nate Silver recently analyzed several recent presidential election elections. He determined that Trump now faces an uphill reelection battle, even if his personal approval rating keeps rising.

“Even a mild recession would likely make Trump an underdog,” Silver wrote on Twitter.

But others caution that nothing is a sure thing when it comes to Trump.

“A lot of this is basically uncharted waters,” Coleman said. “With Trump as president, the rulebook is basically out the window.”