Joe ‘College’ looks like loser
Former President Donald Trump is well and truly on track to reclaim the White House in 2024, a granular nationwide study has found.
Trump topples President Biden, 292-246, in the Electoral College despite losing the popular vote 49% to 47.8%, according to analysis from Stack Data Strategy released Monday.
In the 2020 election, Biden defeated Trump, 306-232, in the college while winning 51.3% of the popular vote. Trump received just 46.8% support.
Under current trends, according to the survey, Trump, 77, would narrowly flip four key states that went against him last time: Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
However, all four of those states would go into the Republican column by narrow margins, with Trump ahead in Arizona by 1.4%, Georgia by 3.3%, Pennsylvania by 2.3% and Wisconsin by 0.9%.
A trove of recent polling has similarly pegged Trump as leading in a handful of battleground states, sending tremors of fear rippling through the Democratic Party.
“Our research is the largest exercise of its kind so far this cycle and we can confidently say that as things currently stand, if Donald Trump is selected as the Republican candidate, he is likely to win,” Joe Bedell, North American head of Stack Data Strategy, said in a statement.
“Despite recent calls for change, our polling also shows that neither party would benefit from a change in candidate,” he added.
“President Trump would beat both of Biden’s possible replacements by an even greater margin.” Biden is projected to win re-election in a landslide if he faces off against Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis next year, per the study. In that hypothetical, Biden would win 359 electoral votes to 179 for DeSantis — the most since Bill Clinton won a second term with 379 electoral votes in 1996.
Meanwhile, should Biden be forced to bow out, Trump would prevail over both Vice President Kamala Harris (311-227) and California Gov. Gavin Newsom (319219).
Both Newsom and Harris have shot down buzz about potentially jumping into the fray and have steadfastly backed Biden’s candidacy.