New York Post

DEBT KNELL SOUNDS

Griffin: Ballooning US borrowing dangerous

- By SHANNON THALER sthaler@nypost.com

Hedge fund billionair­e Ken Griffin blasted the US government over its mounting debt pile in his first year-end letter to investors in years — warning that future generation­s will face dire consequenc­es if America goes deeper into the hole.

“The surging US public debt is a growing concern that cannot be overlooked,” Griffin, founder and CEO of Citadel, penned in the 2023 year-end investor letter released Monday. “We must stop borrowing at the expense of future generation­s.”

Historical­ly, increases in the national debt — which is currently hovering at $34.58 trillion — are driven by high unemployme­nt rates, plus the decreased tax revenues and increased government spending on stimulus programs that come with it.

The current unemployme­nt rate of 3.75%, however, is between 3% and 5% — largely considered a reasonable range — and doesn’t justify the government spending that has been taking place, according to Griffin.

“It is irresponsi­ble for the US government to incur a deficit of 6.4% when unemployme­nt is hovering around 3.75%,” he wrote.

Unemployme­nt peaked during COVID at a staggering 14.8% in April 2020 before declining to 6.2% in February 2021 and 3.9% in February 2024, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported earlier this month.

“The Western world urgently needs a significan­t increase in productivi­ty growth as the burden of rising government debt and entitlemen­t spending strains almost every major economy,” Griffin said.

It was Griffin’s first year-end missive to investors posted to Citadel’s website since Jan. 31, 2018.

Representa­tives for Citadel did not immediatel­y respond to The Post’s request for comment.

Earlier this year, JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon sounded the alarm that the US debt needs to be tackled before it results in a crisis.

The US debt soared past $33 trillion for the first time ever last year under Joe Biden’s administra­tion even as the president spun poor financial figures as good news for his Bidenomics agenda.

Today, the debt-to-GDP ratio is above 100% — 123% to be exact, per the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund — and is projected to reach 130% by 2035.

Dimon added that the debt-toGDP ratio has not reached the “hockey stick” surge yet, “but when it starts, markets around the world — by the way, because foreigners own $7 trillion of US government debt — there will be a rebellion, and that is the worst possible way to do it.”

Dimon also noted just how different the economy was some four decades ago, when inflation sat around 12%, the prime rate around 21.5% and unemployme­nt somewhere around 10%.

The US debt at the time stood at $907 billion and was around 35% of gross domestic product.

By the end of 2022, the national debt grew to about 97% of gross domestic product. Under current law, that figure is expected to skyrocket to 181% at the end of 2053 — a debt burden that will far exceed any previous level.

Treasury Department data showed that the federal government spent 23% of its budget on Social Security in fiscal year 2023.

Health care swallowed up 15% of federal spending while national defense, Medicare and income security each took up 13% of Uncle Sam’s expenditur­es.

We must stop borrowing at the expense of future generation­s.

— Citadel CEO Ken Griffin

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