Swinging more to Don with RFK
Former President Donald Trump is leading President Biden in all seven critical swing states and has an even larger margin in most states when also up against independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., according to a poll released Tuesday.
Trump, 77, has the largest margins against Biden, 81, in North Carolina (47%-42%), Arizona (48%-44%) and Georgia (47%-44%), according to the Emerson College survey of registered voters.
The 45th president also leads the 46th 45%-44% in Michigan and Nevada, and 47%-45% in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
All the state head-to-head polls have an 8% to 11% undecided rate, meaning each candidate has the potential to win over a wide margin of voters before November.
With third-party candidates added in, the president suffers more than Trump. RFK Jr. takes more votes away from Biden in Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
In Arizona, Kennedy comes in at 9%, and with the addition of Cornel West and the Green Party’s Jill
Stein (coming in at 2% together), Biden is left with 40% compared to Trump’s 44%. Kennedy is polling at 6% in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, making Biden suffer 46%-37%, 45%-41% and 45%-40%, respectively, with West and Stein polling in the single digits.
Kennedy is also pulling 8% in Nevada and the other third-party candidates are getting 3%, making the race 42%-37% for Trump. In Georgia and Michigan, RFK Jr. is at 5% and other candidates are at 2%, putting those races at 45%-39% and 43%-42% for Trump.
But Kennedy, a Democrat-turned-independent, must get on the ballot in all 50 states. Among those states surveyed by Emerson, Kennedy’s campaign says it has enough signatures to get on the ballot in Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada.
The Emerson College poll has a sample size of 1,000 registered voters in each of the surveyed states and was conducted by cellphones and landlines, along with an online panel provided by CINT from April 25 through 29. It has a 3-percentage-point margin of error plus or minus.