Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Who said tanks were obsolete?

- ANTONY BEEVOR Antony Beevor is a former tank commander with the British Army during the Cold War.

Vladimir Putin, obsessed with the Red Army’s capture of Berlin in 1945, clearly thought that his columns of tanks advancing on Kyiv from Belarus almost a year ago would bring rapid victory.

Many of the crews adopted the idea of their World War II predecesso­rs and attached iron bedsteads to the exterior of their armor, hoping that they would detonate any antitank missiles prematurel­y. Instead, it raised the profile of their vehicles and attracted the attention of Ukrainian groups hunting them on foot with shoulder-borne missile launchers.

Those hunters took to their task with enthusiasm, shredding Russia’s armored columns and sending Putin’s forces reeling back toward the border. This extraordin­ary debacle prompted many military commentato­rs in the West to conclude that the era of the tank was finally over.

How wrong they were. Over the past few months, we’ve seen what amounts to a remarkable revival of the role of the main battle tank — and by the same people who seemed to be accelerati­ng its demise last spring.

Ukraine’s pleas for heavy armor have finally been answered. After long hesitation, 12 Western countries, known as the “tank coalition,” have responded with promises of Leopards, Abrams and Challenger­s, amounting to more than 200 of them, almost an entire armored division.

The Ukrainians want more. They clearly don’t think tanks are obsolete, and they’re right.

It is certainly true that modern antitank missiles — such as the NLAWs and Javelins that proved so effective against Putin’s Cold War-era T-72 tanks — have given infantry formidable new defenses against tanks.

Even before the Russians’ humiliatin­g defeat ahead of reaching Kyiv, some NATO armies were already planning a switch from main battle tanks to lighter armored fighting vehicles. (The British Army placed its hopes on the Ajax fighting vehicle, which turned out to suffer some serious design flaws.)

The U.S. Marine Corps also recently announced plans to reduce its tank formations as part of a massive reorganiza­tion. But this has less do with skepticism about tanks than with the Marines’ increasing focus on the Far East and Pacific theater, where the terrain is less favorable to the heavy Abrams.

The Ukrainians face different challenges: above all, how to retake territory wrested from them by a numericall­y vastly superior Russian force. Offense is the realm where main battle tanks, when used correctly, can produce unrivaled results.

Once they arrive on the battlefiel­d, the Ukrainians’ new weapons should prove instrument­al in resisting any renewed Russian onslaughts. If Kyiv can master the art of combining its tanks with infantry, drones and air assets, the Ukrainian army might want to punch a hole in Russian defense lines in eastern or southern Donbas to provoke a chaotic retreat.

The West is clearly betting that an influx of main battle tanks can help the Ukrainians make important territoria­l gains — of which the most critical would involve Crimea.

The thinking is clear. Putin’s reputation and support in Russia were built on the seizure of Crimea in 2014. Its recapture with the help of the “tank coalition” thus represents the best way of bringing him down and avoiding the dangers of a frozen conflict. Only a relatively small advance is needed to bring his bridge over the Kerch Strait to the Crimean peninsula under direct fire, provoking a panic-stricken exit by recent Russian settlers.

Whether NATO tanks will arrive in time to accomplish the breakthrou­gh needed to achieve that climax will be one of the key questions in the outcome of the war.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States