FAU poll: Bi­den adds to March mar­gin, leads Trump by 6 points

Orlando Sentinel - - Local & State - By An­thony Man

Demo­cratic pres­i­den­tial can­di­date Joe Bi­den has a 6-point lead over Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump in Florida, a poll of the state’s vot­ers said Fri­day.

The Florida At­lantic Univer­sity poll found Bi­den with 53% to Trump’s 47%.

Be­sides putting the for­mer vice pres­i­dent and pre­sump­tive Demo­cratic nom­i­nee above the 50% thresh­old, it also rep­re­sents a move up for him and a slight move down for Trump

In con­trast to Bi­den’s 6-point lead in the lat­est poll, which is out­side the mar­gin of er­ror, Trump and Bi­den were ef­fec­tively tied in FAU’s pre­vi­ous two polls.

Bi­den had a 2-point ad­van­tage in Jan­uary and Trump had a 2-point ad­van­tage in March, both within the mar­gin of er­ror.

In March, FAU found Trump led Bi­den 51% to 49%.

In Jan­uary, Bi­den was ahead 51% to 49%.

The ear­lier polls came be­fore the full ef­fects of the coro­n­avirus be­gan to be seen and felt by the na­tion. The pre­vi­ous FAU poll was re­leased on March 9.

The Florida con­test is crit­i­cal to both sides. It’s the largest of the half-dozen swing states that could go ei­ther way in Novem­ber and de­ter­mine which can­di­date wins.

Florida awards 29 of the 270 elec­toral votes needed to win the pres­i­dency, and im­por­tant statewide elec­tions are al­most al­ways ex­ceed­ingly close.

In 2016, for ex­am­ple, Trump won 49% of the vote statewide to Demo­crat Hil­lary Clin­ton’s

47.8%.

Is­sues: The econ­omy was cho­sen as the top is­sue by 28% of vot­ers. An­other 18% said health care and 12% said im­mi­gra­tion. But for a sig­nif­i­cant share of the state’s vot­ers, the most im­por­tant is­sue isn’t an is­sue at all — it’s win­ning. Among all vot­ers, 20% said de­feat­ing Trump was the most im­por­tant is­sue (36% of Democrats) and 13% said re­elect­ing Trump was the most im­por­tant is­sue (26% of Repub­li­cans).

Fine print: The lat­est re­sults come from an FAU Busi­ness and Eco­nom­ics Polling Ini­tia­tive sur­vey of 928 Florida reg­is­tered vot­ers con­ducted on­line and through au­to­mated calls to peo­ple with land­line tele­phones from May 8-12.

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