Oroville Mercury-Register

Catastroph­ic warnings that never came true


I laughed out loud when I read the letter claiming “We need to prepare for sea level rising 30 feet in the next 15 years.” “100s of millions going to have to move …”

The farce is strong with this one.

Tide gauge records at San Francisco Bay, going back to 1854 (way before SUVs were blamed for destroying our future) show a steady rising sea level trend of just 1.97 millimeter­s/year. That’s just 0.078 inches per year. In 15 years, that would be just 1.17 inches, or 358.83 inches (29.9 feet) short of the letter writer’s claim.

For this claim to come true in 15 years, global ice melt would have to be over 300 times the current rate — not plausible even under the worstcase climate scenario.

Some perspectiv­e — in 1989 a U.N. official went on record to say in the Associated Press “… entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.” Of course, that never happened.

The source of failed fearmonger­ing? Same as always — computer climate model projection­s. Then there’s this doozy from the U.N. high priests of doom. In 2005, the U.N. claimed, “Rising sea levels … will create up to 50 million environmen­tal refugees by the end of the decade.” Nope, didn’t come true, and the U.N. “disappeare­d” the claim from its website in 2011.

Don’t believe me? All of the references are here: https:// wattsupwit­hthat.com/newspaper-letter-references/

— Anthony Watts, Chico

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States