Milwaukee Journal Sentinel - Packer Plus
Which teams are already winning before the draft?
We know: it might seem EXTREMELY early to start thinking about betting on the NFL win total over/unders for 2021 before April’s draft has taken place.
On the other hand, this could be an opportunity. If there’s a team on this list who you project could clean up at the draft, there might be value in buying in now before the O/U goes up. The same goes for a team that might strike out later this month, with an over/under that seems too high.
Or this is a starting point to track movement over the coming months.
Away we go:
(All odds courtesy of BetMGM)
Arizona Cardinals: 8
Is this the year they take off?
Atlanta Falcons: 7.5
Are they really better than a 4-12 team in 2021?
Baltimore Ravens: 11
Seems exactly right.
Buffalo Bills: 10.5
They could contend again in 2021.
Carolina Panthers: 7.5
Welcome to Carolina, Sam Darnold.
Chicago Bears: 7
Andy Dalton, QB1!
Cincinnati Bengals: 6.5
Does this assume Joe Burrow is back Week 1?
Cleveland Browns: 10
They won 11 last year with basically the same team.
Dallas Cowboys: 9
Will a healthy Dak Prescott get the Cowboys back to their winning ways?
Denver Broncos: 7.5
Feels like I’ll go back and forth on this one until September. Detroit Lions: 5
A rebuilding team that may not get up to that number.
Green Bay Packers: 11
They’ve got an amazing Jeopardy! guest host at QB, so there’s that. Houston Texans: 4.5
This team is going to be BAD this season.
Indianapolis Colts: 10
Could be a push.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 6.5
Is Trevor Lawrence — assuming he’s being taken No. 1 overall — worth five more wins than last year to hit the over?
Kansas City Chiefs: 12
The highest number of any team, and of course that’s the case.
Las Vegas Raiders: 7.5
I’ll be honest, I have no idea what to make of this one.
Los Angeles Chargers: 9
Justin Herbert, Year 2!
Los Angeles Rams: 10
Matthew Stafford under center means good things in L.A.
Miami Dolphins: 9
A reminder that while the Fins might have an A+ draft after a good free-agency period, they play in a very tough AFC East. Minnesota Vikings: 9
They won seven games last year. Are they really that much better than that in 2021?
New England Patriots: 9.5
A number that dares you to bet against Bill Belichick.
New Orleans Saints: 9
It depends on who the starter is at QB (it’s got to be Jameis Winston, right? RIGHT?).
New York Giants: 7
Daniel Jones has some weapons. Does that mean he finally puts together a good season? This O/U definitely reflects some of that uncertainty.
New York Jets: 6
Too high after a 2-14 season, you say? Go ahead, bet on the under! Philadelphia Eagles: 6.5
After a rough 4-11-1 season, this seems like it makes sense. Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5
A number that perhaps reflects some trouble ahead for the offense with Ben Roethlisberger still under center.
San Francisco 49ers: 10
I have a feeling this already reflects a rookie QB being taken. Seattle Seahawks: 9.5
The division is super-tough, for what it’s worth.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11.5
Super Bowl hangover? With all the starters coming back, maybe not? Tennessee Titans: 9
Does this feel undervalued after they won 11 times last year? Washington Football Team: 8
They won seven games last year, have some Fitzmagic under center and a pretty solid offense and defense. Hmm.