Pawtucket Times

Black youth want freedom


Among the key headlines from the 2022 election were gains by Republican­s among minority voters.

According to the AP VoteCast survey, Republican House candidates got 14% of the Black vote, almost twice the 8% of the Black vote that Republican­s captured in 2020 and 2018.

The difference between the percentage of Black votes that Democrats got compared to Republican­s was 68 points, compared to a difference of 83 points in the 2020 election and 82 points in 2018.

This was even more pronounced among younger Black voters, ages 18-44, where the difference between percentage voting Democrat and Republican was 54 points, compared to 76 points in 2020 and 75 in 2018.

The Republican Party is most aggressive­ly taking root among younger Black voters.

Per Pew Research, 28% of Black Republican­s are ages 18-29, compared to 17% of Black Democrats and 10% of White Republican­s.

My own sense is that younger Blacks are less inclined to think of themselves primarily by race and less inclined to think of their future in terms of racial group identity politics.

Pew Research data shows 58% of Black Republican­s say that their race is an “extremely or very important” aspect of their personal identity. This compared to 82% of Black Democrats.

Twenty one percent of Black Republican­s, compared to 6% of Black Democrats, say their race is of little or no importance to their personal identity.

Also worth noting is that 50% of Black Republican­s live in lower-income households.

So, in general, Black Republican­s tend to be younger and poorer.

This makes sense. These younger Black Americans are thinking about their future and have a sense of realism that their future is about their own efforts as opposed to racially driven government programs.

Per Pew, 45% of Black Republican­s, compared to 21% of Black Democrats, are more likely to say that the future of Black Americans depends on their own efforts. About half as many Black Republican­s compared to Black Democrats – – 44% versus 73% – – see racial discrimina­tion as the main barrier to Black progress and achievemen­t.

So, change is underway, and this is good news. More in the upcoming generation of Black Americans see themselves as the civil rights movement wanted all Black Americans to be seen – – as unique individual­s.

But this change must be greater and faster to slow and stop the leftward movement of the country.

Per analysis from the Brookings Institutio­n, in 2022, among voters 65+, 76.3% were white; ages 45-54, 68.2% were white; ages 30-44, 62.2% were white; and 18-29, 56% were white.

This demographi­c snapshot shows the future ethnic profile of the country. It is becoming dramatical­ly less white.

In 2022, 72% of voters were white, and 58% of them voted Republican, accounting for 42% of the overall Republican vote. If the overall profile looked like it does among 1829 voters, 56% white rather than 72%, with no change in the percentage voting Republican, 58%, white voters would be delivering 32% of Republican votes rather than 42%.

It should be clear that with the percentage of the American population dramatical­ly shifting to non-white Americans, there must be a correspond­ing dramatic increase in the percentage of non-white Americans voting for Republican­s or we can expect the country to continue to transform to big government and moral relativism.

Despite the improvemen­ts, 14% of Black voters and 39% of Hispanic voters voting Republican in 2022, this is not enough.

Republican­s should be taking a closer look at the positive dynamics driving young Blacks to the Republican Party and use this message to reach more minority Americans.

That is, don’t bank your future on racial politics. Every American should be considered a unique individual, personally responsibl­e for their own life. The job of government is to protect life, liberty, property and the pursuit of happiness for everyone.

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