BUF­FALO over Mi­ami by 3

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

Af­ter a week of watch­ing Jon Gru­den pro­claim Tom Brady the ‘G.O.A.T.’ in MNF pro­mos, the Dol­phins’ D made Brady look more like a bil­ly­goat. It’s one thing to shut down Trevor Simien (Bron­cos were 1-for-13 on third down) but the Fins did it again to Brady, who failed to con­vert a third down in 11 tries. If you read our pre­dic­tion for the Mon­day Nighter in last week’s PLAYBOOK, you’ll know that we were not sur­prised, and Brady prob­a­bly wasn’t either, as #12 is now 7-9 SU in Mi­ami against the Dol­phins as a starter. How­ever, don’t get too car­ried away as Mi­ami is 0-5 SUATS away when com­ing off a game against the Pa­tri­ots and 2-9 ATS when com­ing off a Mon­day night game. On the flip side, the Bills will be rested af­ter spend­ing hours mak­ing snow an­gels on the home turf fol­low­ing the win over Indy, and will try to ex­tend a 4-1 ATS record as a host in this se­ries. How­ever, the Bills are 1-7 ATS at home in divi­sion games when com­ing off con­sec­u­tive home games and a win. We re­ally can’t make a call here un­til we know the sta­tus of the mud­dled Buf­falo QB sit­u­a­tion.

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