JACK­SONVILLE over Hous­ton by 6

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

The Jags have now won 6 of their last seven and no one took much no­tice when the vic­to­ries were over Indy (twice), Cleve­land, Cincy and the Charg­ers be­fore they got pretty good. How­ever, Sun­day’s win over Seat­tle opened some eyes and at 9-4, Jax has clinched its first win­ning sea­son in a decade. Un­for­tu­nately, the Jack­sonville teams of the past al­ways set up their fans for dis­ap­point­ment, ev­i­denced by stats like an 0-4 ATS mark at home in divi­sion games when com­ing off con­sec­u­tive home games. Also, check out this sparkling nugget from our NFL Coaches data­base gold­mine: home teams in divi­sion games are 15-26-1 SU and 14-27-1 ATS af­ter fac­ing Pete Car­roll’s Seat­tle Sea­hawks, in­clud­ing 6-12 SU and 3-15 ATS when fac­ing sub .500 foes. The ‘Ville has been known to take a week off fol­low­ing a big win and that could well be the case here. Not to be cruel, but the good news for the Tex­ans is that the con­cus­sion to QB Tom Sav­age likely works in their fa­vor if T.J. Yates gets the call. Yates, 5-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL ca­reer. hadn’t seen ac­tion in an NFL reg­u­lar sea­son game for over two years but looked solid in re­lief of the con­cussed Sav­age, go­ing 14 of 26 for 175 yards, in­clud­ing two TD tosses to DeAn­dre Hop­kins. In ad­di­tion, the Tex­ans are 5-1 ATS the last 6 games as a vis­i­tor in this se­ries. Fi­nally, we’re just not sure this Jaguar turn­around is es­tab­lished enough to lay dou­bles. Play ac­cord­ingly.

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