Baltimore over CLEVE­LAND by 4

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

The Ravens are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS as road fa­vorites ver­sus sub .333 divi­sion op­po­nents but John Har­baugh is just 2-5 as a divi­sion fa­vorite dur­ing De­cem­ber. On the pos­i­tive side, the Baltimore coach is 25-3-4 ATS in SU wins as divi­sion road chalk. The Black­birds are com­ing off that heart­break­ing loss at Pitts­burgh on Sun­day night, but Joe Flacco ac­tu­ally was im­pres­sive and the Ravens can still make the play­offs by win­ning out the rest of the way. Still, we can’t lay a TD here, not when they are 0-4 ITS (leak­ing oil) in their last four games. On the other side, Cleve­land QB DeShone Kizer is now widely rec­og­nized as the ‘Hu­man Turnover Ma­chine’ (though one of the best nick­names we’ve heard is “Kizer So-So”). The rookie was at his best last week, al­low­ing Green Bay back in the game af­ter tak­ing a 14-point lead into the 4th quar­ter. As a re­sult, Cleve­land is now 4-46 SU in its last 50 games and be­comes the first team in NFL his­tory to start a sea­son 0-13 in con­sec­u­tive years. The cur­rent net tally for the Browns’ turnover ra­tio is at -17, and if Kizer shows up as the ‘usual sus­pect’ this week, there’s a good chance he will keep the bummed-out Ravens alive in the AFC play­off chase.

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