Uab over Ohio U by 6

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

In a feel good story that should be air­ing on the Hall­mark Channel rather than ESPN, the Blaz­ers – who’ve been out of uni­form the past two years – earned a trip to the al­leys by post­ing their first win­ning sea­son (and only other bowl ap­pear­ance) since 2004. Early on it didn’t look like Bill Clark’s crew would dress for suc­cess as UAB fell by 20 points at lowly Ball State – the Car­di­nals’ only win over an FBS pro­gram the en­tire cam­paign. And while we re­al­ize this is a step up the MAC lad­der, our sharp data­base likes the Blaz­ers’ chances as bowl dogs of 7 or more points off a win of 7 or more are 31-17-1 ATS ver­sus foes off a SU loss. In ad­di­tion, bowl fa­vorites com­ing off a pair of SU fa­vorite losses are 2-8 ATS, in­clud­ing 0-6 ATS as chalk of 6 or more points. Com­bine that with Ohio’s 0-3 SUATS mark with rest against CUSA op­po­nents and 2-6 SU record as bowlers un­der Frank Solich and you see why it’s bet­ter in the Ba­hamas for the boys from Birm­ing­ham. Still, we’d be hard­pressed not to cap it off with THE CLINCHER: MAC bowlers off a SU loss of 6 or more points are 2-17 SU and 4-15 ATS since 1994, in­clud­ing 0-11 SUATS as ei­ther a fa­vorite or a dog of 3 or fewer points.

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