Kansas State over Ucla by 3

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

The line tells us this should be one of the more in­trigu­ing bowl matchups but to be hon­est, we’d rather be sit­ting on a cac­tus in Phoenix then get in­volved in this re­match of the 2015 Alamo Bowl (2014 sea­son). If you ‘re­mem­ber’, it was a shootout won by Brett Hund­ley, Paul Perkins and the Bru­ins, 40-35. So the knee-jerk re­ac­tion would be to go to battle with Grandpa Sny­der and the ‘Cats tonight at Chase Field were it not for the fact that star QB Jesse Ertz was lost for the sea­son af­ter suf­fer­ing a knee in­jury in early Oc­to­ber against Texas. Not so co­in­ci­den­tally, they en­ter this fray on an ugly 0-9 ITS slide and are No. 118 in the land in First Down Of­fense. KSU does own a big ad­van­tage on the ground as they are +1.1 in net Yards Per Rush as op­posed to UCLA’s -1.8 but we’re not thrilled with their 5-8 SU and 3-10 ATS log in their last 13 bowl games or the Big 12’s 2-12 ATS mark as bowl fa­vorites of less than 7 points. How­ever, we’re also hav­ing a hard time making a case for highly-touted QB Josh Rosen and the Bru­ins. Not sur­pris­ingly they own the No. 5 pass­ing at­tack in the land but they also ar­rive with the na­tion’s 122nd rated de­fense while rank­ing No. 115 in Turnover Mar­gin. And with for­mer head coach Jim Mora out of the pic­ture, this lit­tle ditty comes into play: bowlers with in­terim coaches are 1-9 ATS against foes off a SU win and ATS loss. Now can you see why rolling around in cacti and not get­ting in­volved in this mess doesn’t seem like such a bad idea? Pass.

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