Boston College over Iowa by 6
We realize that with so many stats and trends flying in your direction right now, you might overlook one from time to time. So remember this one: Iowa is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five bowl games. Not only that, but the Hawkeyes offered what can best be described as token resistance in those defeats, losing by 27 points to Florida, 29 to Stanford, 17 to Tennessee, 7 to LSU and 17 to Oklahoma. And since this year’s edition is no better than any of those that got crushed with virtually the same coaching staff in place, we’re wondering if the wrong team isn’t favored here – especially with chalk in this particular bowl currently 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS. We do know that after playing the Gators in last year’s Outback Bowl and Stanford in the Rose Bowl two years ago, matching up with a faceless Boston College team that hasn’t won more than 7 games since 2009 looks like a major step down for the disinterested Hawkeyes. The Eagles may be forgotten outside of the ACC but they’ve rewarded Beantown backers with a hugely successful 8-0-1 ATS run over their last 9 games of this season. Our database says it will continue here as ACC bowl dogs are 9-2 SU and 10-0-1 ATS vs. Big Ten foes. And with Iowa’s defense ranked No. 2 nationally in Passes Intercepted and the Eagles’ defense holding four foes to season-low yards, it could very well be a low-scoring affair. BC head coach Steve Addazio has cashed three of four tickets as a non-conference underdog off a SU win while the Hawkeyes’ ageless Kirk Ferentz (19th season in Iowa City) is just 6-10 ATS as a non-conference favorite against an opponent off a win. The bottom line is we can’t get past Iowa’s dreadful postseason performances of late, so our advice is to take it if you play it.