Bos­ton Col­lege over Iowa by 6

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - 2-minute Handicap -

We re­al­ize that with so many stats and trends fly­ing in your direc­tion right now, you might over­look one from time to time. So re­mem­ber this one: Iowa is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five bowl games. Not only that, but the Hawkeyes of­fered what can best be de­scribed as to­ken re­sis­tance in those de­feats, los­ing by 27 points to Florida, 29 to Stan­ford, 17 to Ten­nessee, 7 to LSU and 17 to Ok­la­homa. And since this year’s edi­tion is no bet­ter than any of those that got crushed with vir­tu­ally the same coach­ing staff in place, we’re won­der­ing if the wrong team isn’t fa­vored here – es­pe­cially with chalk in this par­tic­u­lar bowl cur­rently 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS. We do know that af­ter play­ing the Ga­tors in last year’s Out­back Bowl and Stan­ford in the Rose Bowl two years ago, match­ing up with a face­less Bos­ton Col­lege team that hasn’t won more than 7 games since 2009 looks like a ma­jor step down for the dis­in­ter­ested Hawkeyes. The Ea­gles may be for­got­ten out­side of the ACC but they’ve re­warded Bean­town back­ers with a hugely suc­cess­ful 8-0-1 ATS run over their last 9 games of this sea­son. Our data­base says it will con­tinue here as ACC bowl dogs are 9-2 SU and 10-0-1 ATS vs. Big Ten foes. And with Iowa’s de­fense ranked No. 2 na­tion­ally in Passes In­ter­cepted and the Ea­gles’ de­fense hold­ing four foes to sea­son-low yards, it could very well be a low-scor­ing af­fair. BC head coach Steve Ad­dazio has cashed three of four tick­ets as a non-con­fer­ence un­der­dog off a SU win while the Hawkeyes’ age­less Kirk Fer­entz (19th sea­son in Iowa City) is just 6-10 ATS as a non-con­fer­ence fa­vorite against an op­po­nent off a win. The bot­tom line is we can’t get past Iowa’s dread­ful post­sea­son per­for­mances of late, so our ad­vice is to take it if you play it.

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