Virginia Tech over Oklahoma State by 3
It’s been a season of frustration for both of these teams as identical 2-2 SU finishes spoiled any chance at a conference playoff appearance. Even so, we have to make Okie State the more disappointed bowler here – as this is NOT the way the Cowboys envisioned their season drawing to a close. Adding to the frustration was the oddity that OSU outgained six of its seven fellow bowlers in 2017, but managed only one win versus the pointspread in those games. Cowboy QB Mason Rudolph was also a strong Heisman contender before falling from favor in the latter part of the season. He can still sling it, though, and the Hokies’ No. 3 Red Zone Defense ranking will be tested by a relentless offensive attack that saw Rudolph fire 35 TD passes (9 interceptions) while RB Justice Hill scampered for 1,347 yards and 14 touchdowns. However, those gaudy numbers did not come against defenses as stout as Virginia Tech’s, which stifled foes to the tune of just 13.5 PPG and 305 YPG. And while OSU head coach Mike Gundy stands 3-0 ATS in his last three games versus ACC adversaries, VT’s Justin Fuente shines with a 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS mark when his team is rested, and a 15-6 ATS record versus non-conference foes. More bad news for the Poke: bowlers who scored 56 or more points and won by 38 or more points in their final game of the season are just 14-34-1 ATS. With both coaches and programs not likely to wilt in a big-game situation like this, the Hokies’ Bud Foster-led defense is the deciding factor. Take the points and enjoy the ride.