KANSAS CITY over Ten­nessee by 11

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - Stat Rankings / Nfl -

Call this a bold and gutsy judg­ment con­sid­er­ing the feath­er­heads have per­formed more like feather dusters than head scalpers dur­ing the post­sea­son, sport­ing a 4-12 SU and 2-14 ATS record in their last 16 play­off games. Toss in Andy Reid’s 9-16 ATS ca­reer mark in games against AFC South foes (1-10 ATS at home) and a 1-5 SUATS record in his last 6 post­sea­son con­tests, along with QB Alex Smith’s soft 2-4 SUATS dossier in the play­offs, and it cer­tainly makes the Chiefs a cau­tion­ary call, at best. The well-oiled ma­chine quickly comes to KC’s res­cue, though, not­ing that home teams in the play­offs that lost straight up as a play­off fa­vorite the pre­vi­ous sea­son are 70-9 SU and 53-23-3 ATS in the fol­low­ing

SATUR­DAY - JAN­UARY 6 4:35 PM ET - ESPN/ABC

year of atone­ment. And to Kansas City’s credit, the Chiefs have gone 4-0 SUATS and ITS to close out the sea­son. Mean­while, Ten­nessee is one of 8 new teams to make the play­offs this sea­son – 6 of who are play­ing this week­end. The Ti­tans are 2-8-1 ATS in the play­offs with a .700 or less win per­cent­age, while Ten­nessee QB Mar­cus Mar­i­ota is 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS away when com­ing off a win in his NFL ca­reer. It’s also been a tale of two halves for these two squads as the Chiefs have man­aged to out­gain foes +35 YPG dur­ing the se­cond half of the sea­son while the Ti­tans have been out­yarded -15 YPG over the same span. De­spite the pu­trid play­off his­tory for both, we’ll fol­low cur­rent form in this sacra­men­tal.

OPEN­ING LINES: KANSAS CITY -7.5 / 45

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