LA RAMS over Atlanta by 10

Playbook Football (Midweek Alert) - - Stat Rankings / Nfl -

With the Rams play­ing their first play­off game in Los An­ge­les since 1985, let’s cut to the chase and set the ta­ble in this bi­coastal bat­tle: Su­per bowl losers (Atlanta) the pre­vi­ous sea­son are 3-152 ATS in their first play­off game the fol­low­ing sea­son when com­ing off a win. And to top it off, the Fal­cons are 1-9 ATS in the play­offs when com­ing off a SUATS win. So why are we some­what re­served in what looks to be a fa­vor­able set­ting for the up­start Rams, you ask? For open­ers, the Fal­cons’ st­ingy de­fense has held each of its last two foes to sea­son-low yards, as well as 6 foes to a to­tal of 300 or fewer yards. In ad­di­tion, Atlanta is one of only 4 teams to make the play­offs this sea­son sport­ing both a Top 10


ranked of­fense and Top 10 ranked de­fense (Jack­sonville, Philadel­phia, and Pitts­burgh the other three). Ac­cord­ing to the Stat Rank­ings on page 1, the Fal­cons ac­tu­ally own the bet­ter of­fense and the bet­ter de­fense in this con­test. And then there is this from Mike Mains, our Play­book NFL Preview Guide guru: QB’s mak­ing their first start in the play­offs are just 11-27 SU and 11-26-1 ATS over the last 15 years. Ugh. Then again, Atlanta is 3-13-1 ATS in a play­off game when not fa­vored by 6 or more points. On the other side of the coin, the SU win­ner in an NFL Wild Card Round game is 113-14-4 (88.9%) ATS since 1980, with SU fa­vorite win­ners 61-14-4 ATS (81.3%). That may be all you need to know.


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