JACKSONVILLE over Buffalo by 13
Atotal of 8 new teams this season earned postseason berths that were on the sidelines last year, including each of these two squads. The Bills edged out the Chargers on the 4th tiebreaker to earn their first playoff berth in 17 years (composite win percentage of opponents beaten over the course of the season). The last team to win and make the playoffs under the same identical tiebreaker was the 2009 Green Bay Packers, who went one-and-done. Good news for Buffalo is its 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS record away all-time in games at Jacksonville. On the flip side, NFL home teams coming off consecutive losses (the Jaguars) are 14-3 SU and ATS since 1990. Looking inside the stats, Jacksonville held 7 foes to season-low – or
SUNDAY - JANUARY 7 1:00 PM ET - CBS TV
2nd low – yardage this campaign, whereas Buffy was just 4-12 ITS (In The Stats) this season. The bottom line is the Bills are losing games by an average of -51 net YPG this season, while the Jags are 11-5 ITS, winning the stats by an average of +80 net YPG. Making matters worse for the herd, our well-oiled machine notes that NFL playoff teams in their 3rd consecutive away game, off a SUATS win, are 9-35 SU and 13-31 ATS since 1980. With star RB Shady McCoy questionable with a wobbly ankle, and Buffalo 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS away when coming off consecutive away games in which the Bills are off a win of more than 3 points, look for Buffalo to roam back home like a masochist… beaten but satisfied.
OPENING LINES: JACKSONVILLE -7.5 / 41