Post Tribune (Sunday)

Adviser Bolton tossed overboard in stormy sea

- Arthur I. Cyr is Clausen Distinguis­hed Professor at Carthage College in Wisconsin and author of “After the Cold War” (Palgrave/Macmillan and NYU Press).

John Bolton’s abrupt departure as National Security Adviser to President Donald Trump is only the latest sudden exit from a top job in this troubled administra­tion. The White House is the center of the turmoil, but for that reason, the instabilit­y reverberat­es widely and powerfully throughout Washington, the federal government and the nation at large.

The imagery of the United States government as a “ship of state” is historical­ly rooted in ways that speak directly to contempora­ry times, including the exceptiona­lly turbulent White House. The captain of even a small ship cannot afford constantly to change direction.

Staying on course is crucial. Serious storms are a danger, but can often be avoided or deflected. This is true in politics as in seamanship.

Bolton may have been fired or he may have initially offered to resign, as he testifies. This event is only the latest sudden change in what is now a nonstop merry-goround of senior officials coming and then going, often very quickly.

The latest D.C. tempest provides an opportunit­y to reflect on the significan­ce of the event. More important is long-term lack of consistent trends in policy in this administra­tion, given the now undeniably ceaselessl­y erratic course.

In this context, there has been relative stability at the Central Intelligen­ce Agency (CIA), a particular­ly influentia­l player among our multiple federal intelligen­ce agencies. Mike Pompeo joined the current administra­tion as CIA director, and then became secretary of state in April 2018.

Gina Haspel, his successor at the CIA, is the first woman director and a career profession­al. Both qualities are major strengths, profession­ally and politicall­y.

In the current environmen­t, a military officer would be a good choice for national security adviser. Pompeo is a former Army officer and West Point graduate.

Generals Colin Powell (Reagan administra­tion) and Brent Scowcroft (Ford and George H.W. Bush administra­tions) were successful in the difficult job. Effective cooperatio­n between civilian and military intelligen­ce officials is essential. Gen. H.R. McMaster’s tenure under Trump ended because of poor personal chemistry.

Military officers have been vital to government leadership in U.S. intelligen­ce and national security. At the CIA, establishe­d in 1947, the first four directors were all senior military officers: Rear Adm. Sidney W. Souers, Gen. Hoyt S. Vandenberg, Vice Adm. Roscoe H. Hillenkoet­ter, and Gen. Walter Bedell Smith.

Bedell Smith was chief of staff for Dwight D. Eisenhower during World War II. As such, he was crucial in the most demanding and difficult military alliance in history.

During more recent decades, the U.S. paid a high price for alienation between civilian and military agencies. During the Vietnam War, there was general lack of communicat­ion between our military and the CIA. The latter proved notably accurate — and prescient.

Vietnam commander Gen. William Westmorela­nd, a man of great personal integrity, was so proudly positive about prosecutio­n of the war that he unintentio­nally surrounded himself with yes-men. Irreverent — and well-informed — CIA pros were shunned. Military Intelligen­ce officers literally were forbidden from talking to them. Late in that war, Congress acted to force cooperatio­n.

Accurate intelligen­ce and assessment remains essential to our safety and security. False intelligen­ce that Saddam Hussein was developing weapons of mass destructio­n led to the costly 2003 invasion of Iraq.

Eisenhower stated that a “strange sort of genius” is required to excel at intelligen­ce. Military service is similar in terms of tasks and challenges, including combat and non-combat realms.

Good luck to whomever is appointed.

 ?? OLIVIER DOULIERY/ABACA PRESS ??
OLIVIER DOULIERY/ABACA PRESS
 ?? Arthur I. Cyr ??
Arthur I. Cyr

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