Post Tribune (Sunday)

Fed pressed to send more help to small businesses

Critics say program may help investors instead of workers

- By Marcy Gordon

WASHINGTON — With the economy still in the pandemic’s grip, the Federal Reserve is facing a decision on whether to stretch an emergency lending program in a way that could bring more risk for the government and taxpayers. Lawmakers are pressing the central bank to deliver more aid to struggling small and mid-size businesses.

The economic recovery has been uneven and painfully slow in the wake of shutdowns from the coronaviru­s. The pandemic has killed more than 182,000 people in the U.S., and the number of laid-off workers collecting jobless benefits exceeds 14.5 million.

And now many lawmakers are asking the Fed to expand its lending to small and medium-sized businesses, by allowing companies to offer assets such as commercial properties as collateral. They warn that hard-hit hotels and shopping malls could suffer a huge wave of foreclosur­es, hurting local communitie­s and jobs across the country.

“Inaction would be disastrous for taxpayers, for employees, for communitie­s,” said Rep. Van Taylor, a Texas Republican and a leader of the bipartisan effort.

The decision is on the doorstep of Fed Chairman Jay Powell and Steven Mnuchin, the Trump administra­tion’s treasury secretary. Using money from Congress’ coronaviru­s relief package, the Treasury Department is guaranteei­ng the Fed’s lending programs — hundreds of billions each — to corporatio­ns, smaller businesses and state and local government­s.

Powell and Mnuchin have said they’re considerin­g the option. But some critics say the lending expansion would be risky, and might actually help big investors in the companies rather than the workers.

The economic disruption­s caused by the pandemic called for massive federal aid programs, unpreceden­ted in scope. U.S. taxpayers are funding them. So if a company fails after receiving a government emergency loan and can’t repay it, taxpayers take the loss.

Lawmakers are pressing for a broader approach in part because the Fed’s Main Street lending program for small and mid-sized businesses, to which it’s committing up to $600 billion, has had a slow start, with only modest borrower interest. They want the Fed to allow companies to qualify based on assets such as commercial properties, rather than measures of financial condition.

But Bharat Ramamurti, a Democratic appointee to the new Congressio­nal Oversight Commission, says he has concerns.

“It’s risky because it can be hard for the Fed to accurately appraise assets right now,” he said. “And in some important cases like hotels, it would help deeppocket­ed property owners like private equity firms without any guarantee of helping bellhops and waitstaff and housekeepe­rs.”

The only one of four members on the oversight panel who isn’t a member of Congress, Ramamurti was a senior policy adviser to Massachuse­tts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a leading Democratic critic of Wall Street and corporatio­ns.

Leveraging the funds from Congress’ relief package, the Treasury Department is guaranteei­ng trillions of dollars — up to $4.5 trillion — in the Fed’s lending programs. The financial wizardry rests on a key assumption: The companies receiving the loans are deemed likely to repay once the crisis has passed and the economy has recovered.

Mnuchin has laid out the administra­tion’s gamble. He says it’s possible that the government could lose some of the money it puts up. “Our intention is that we expect to take some losses. That’s our base-case scenario,” Mnuchin told Congress.

Mnuchin has spoken approvingl­y of the results from the $425 billion bailout of banks and automakers during the 2008-09 financial crisis, under the administra­tions of George W. Bush and then Barack Obama. In that case the government took stakes in the companies and finished with a $15 billion profit for taxpayers several years later as the economy recovered, the companies repaid their loans and their stock prices rebounded.

“There are scenarios where we could lose all of our capital, and we are prepared to do that,” Mnuchin has said. “There are scenarios where the world gets better and we could actually make a small amount of money.”

The Fed could play it fairly safe, lending to “fallen angel” companies that were in sound financial shape before the pandemic but then were starved of cash by the economic disruption. In that case the central bank may be accused of helping businesses that could borrow in the private markets and don’t need government aid. If it makes riskier loans, the Fed may be seen as propping up teetering “zombie” businesses that could default on payments. By law, the Fed cannot lend to insolvent companies.

 ?? TASOS KATOPODIS/AP ?? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, above, and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are considerin­g expanding lending to small and mid-size companies.
TASOS KATOPODIS/AP Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, above, and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are considerin­g expanding lending to small and mid-size companies.

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