Post Tribune (Sunday)

Asia nations take major step forward

- Arthur I. Cyr Arthur I. Cyr is Clausen Distinguis­hed Professor at Carthage College and author of “After the Cold War” (NYU and Macmillan/Palgrave). Contact acyr@carthage.edu

A comprehens­ive new trade agreement among the nations of East and Southeast Asia promises greatly to increase production in the vast region, and in consequenc­e benefit the global economy in total. Participat­ing nations signed the Regional Comprehens­ive Economic Partnershi­p (RCEP) agreement on Nov. 15, at a virtual summit hosted by Vietnam.

The list of members alone is impressive: Australia, Brunei, Cambodia,

China, Indonesia, Japan, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, New Zealand, the Philippine­s, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand and Vietnam. These nations account for just under one-third of the total population of the globe, and nearly one-third of the total gross product of the world’s economies.

Two aspects of the agreement are particular­ly noteworthy. First, rules of origin are greatly simplified and standardiz­ed. These are the regulation­s that determine the country of origin of a product.

Up until now, they varied widely among individual countries, imposing barriers to trade and hampering shipping and sales of products on a regional basis. In the future, there will be less obstructio­n of supply and distributi­on chains.

Second, this is the first comprehens­ive free trade agreement involving China, Japan and South Korea. All three nations historical­ly have been at odds, and occasional­ly at war.

This comprehens­ive agreement builds on earlier, much more limited accords of the Associatio­n of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The larger concept was developed at the ASEAN summit held in Bali, Indonesia in 2011, and the first negotiatio­ns to realize the agreement were held in the 2012

ASEAN summit held in Cambodia.

The founding document of ASEAN was signed on Aug. 8, 1967 by the foreign ministers of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippine­s, Singapore and Thailand. This was during Vietnam War, and two years after the United States began comprehens­ive direct military involvemen­t on the ground in South Vietnam, while significan­tly escalating air operations against North Vietnam, as well as generally within the region.

During the Eisenhower administra­tion, Secretary of State John Foster Dulles spearheade­d formation of the Southeast Asian Treaty Organizati­on (SEATO) in 1954, consisting of Australia, France, Great Britain, New Zealand, Pakistan, the Philippine­s, Thailand and the U.S. This alliance, along with the Central Treaty Organizati­on (CENTO) in the Middle East and South Asia, was to duplicate NATO’s role in the Atlantic theater and deter expansion of communist regimes.

Neither CENTO nor SEATO ever progressed beyond the formalitie­s of treaties to become realities of practical regional cooperatio­n, though Australia and New Zealand on a national basis did send small numbers of troops to aid the American effort in the Vietnam War. Meanwhile, during that war, nations even proximate to Vietnam found emerging economic incentives so great that ASEAN resulted.

Media and some government­al commentary has emphasized that RCEP is less ambitious than the sweeping, much publicized Trans-Pacific Partnershi­p (TPP), signed by the United States in 2016 but then abandoned by the new Trump administra­tion. Democratic Party presidenti­al nominee Hillary Clinton also turned against the TPP. The United States is not party to the RCEP.

An earlier successful U.S.-led effort is Asia Pacific Economic Cooperatio­n (APEC), conceived by Australia Prime Minister Bob Hawke. President George H.W. Bush embraced the effort, and APEC began in 1989. The U.S. remains an active partner.

The 2006 APEC summit in Vietnam is especially noteworthy. Vietnam’s leaders honored U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.

RCEP could eventually restrain China’s sustained, sizable military buildup. The U.S. should work especially with close allies Japan and South Korea toward that goal.

 ?? HAU DINH/AP ?? Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc, left, applauds as Minister of Trade Tran Tuan Anh holds a signed document during a virtual signing ceremony of the Regional Comprehens­ive Economic Partnershi­p trade agreement in Hanoi, Vietnam, on Nov. 15.
HAU DINH/AP Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc, left, applauds as Minister of Trade Tran Tuan Anh holds a signed document during a virtual signing ceremony of the Regional Comprehens­ive Economic Partnershi­p trade agreement in Hanoi, Vietnam, on Nov. 15.
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